Saturday, July 31, 2010

Fantasy Baseball Dispute No. 8169-T: SportsJudge.com Court Approves Trade of McCutchen, Niese & B. Anderson for Cuddyer and Hanson

SPORTSJUDGE.COM

COURT OF FANTASY BASEBALL

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Index No. 8169-T

Date Rendered: July 30, 2010

Date Issued: July 30, 2010

League Type: Rotisserie, 5x5

Dispute: TRADE REVIEW

Authoring Judge: Ed Gefen

TRADE BETWEEN PiNsTrIpErS & THE SONS OF PITCHES IS ACCEPTED.

COMMISSIONER OF EP RULES BASEBALL KEEPER LEAGUE

Petitioner,

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PiNsTrIpErS and THE SONS OF PITCHES

Respondent

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The EP Leagues brings this claim in the COURT OF FANTASY BASEBALL to determine the status of a fantasy baseball dispute involving the proposed trade of PiNsTrIpErS players Andrew McCutchen (OF Pittsburgh Pirates), Jonathon Niese (P, New York Mets) and Brett Anderson (P, Oakland Athletics) for The Sons of Pitches players Michael Cuddyer (OF-1B, Minnesota Twins) and Tommy Hanson (P, Atlanta Braves).


This court ACCEPTS the proposed trade.


The Law on Upholding a Trade


In this court, it is the general rule that any fantasy baseball trade shall be upheld as long as the trade adequately benefits both teams. (See Public Opinion No. 101, Big Red Rockers v. Big City Bombers). A fantasy trade reasonably benefits both teams if it allows both teams to have a reasonable chance of moving up in the standings. (See Unpublished Opinion No. 468-T, Commissioner Gary B. v. Ever-Lastings and 2 Legit 2 Quit). If the league is a keeper league, as is the case here, this Court will also consider a team’s likely performance in future seasons, especially with respect to the team currently ranked lower in the standings (See Unpublished Opinion No. 3704-T, Commissioner Paul Schultz v. Snakes & Blutos).


This Court recognizes that team owners may have different strategies in terms of short-term and long-term goals; and that while one team may try to maximize its chances of winning prize money this year, another team may play for the future (See Unpublished Opinion No. 3731-T, Commissioner v. Muleskinners & Southsiders; see also Unpublished Opinion No. 3797, Commissioner v. Foo Dogs & Maulers).


The Proposed Trade


PiNsTrIpErS proposes to trade:

· Andrew McCutchen (OF Pittsburgh Pirates, .293, 57 R, 8 HR, 32 RBI, 21 SB)

· Jonathon Niese (P, New York Mets, 7 W, 84 K, 3.43 ERA, 1.37 WHIP)

· Brett Anderson (P, Oakland Athletics, 2 W, 22 K, 2.35 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, activated from DL for July 30 game)


The Sons of Pitches Propose to trade:

· Michael Cuddyer (OF-1B, Minnesota Twins, .278, 62 R, 10 HR, 48 RBI, 2 SB)

· Tommy Hanson (P, Atlanta Braves, 8 W, 122 K, 3.99 ERA, 1.35 WHIP).


The Analysis


Four of the five players in this fantasy trade dispute are age 23 or younger, so the key to this trade is primarily about potential, and there is a lot of uncertainty on both sides.


The PiNsTrIpErS are currently in second place, and have acquired the trade’s lone veteran, Michael Cuddyer. With Cuddyer, who is batting in the middle of the order for Minnesota, the PiNsTrIpErS could be expected to improve in HR (a bit) and RBI (more than a bit). In addition, with Hanson, the PiNsTrIpErs look to enjoy an upgrade in wins and strikeouts.


The Sons of Pitches, sitting in eighth place and without the benefit of three clear keepers for next season, get at least one potential keeper for their roster in McCutchen. McCutchen has dealt with shoulder issues this month, but can boost almost any team’s stolen bases and batting average. The Sons of Pitches do lose HR potential, but they are already at the bottom of the league in those categories – with 124 HR, trailing the next-lowest team by 19 (15.3 percent).


In pitching, the ceiling is high on Niese – 6-2 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.10 WHIP since coming back from the DL on June 5 – and Anderson, a projected ace who plays in a pitching-friendly stadium for a team that is on the upswing. One, if not both, a these pitchers could prove important to the PiNsTrIpErS run at “a money finish” down the stretch.


Holding


The Court approves the trade of PiNsTrIpErS players Andrew McCutchen (OF Pittsburgh Pirates), Jonathon Niese (P, New York Mets) and Brett Anderson (P, Oakland Athletics) to The Sons of Pitches players Michael Cuddyer (OF-1B, Minnesota Twins) and Tommy Hanson (P, Atlanta Braves).

Tuesday, July 27, 2010

Article on Baseball Collusion Makes SSRN Top 10 List

Exciting news: My article on the history of collusion in Major League Baseball was recently ranked No. 10 by the Social Science Research Network ("SSRN") in its list of Top 10 papers about collective bargaining.

Fantasy Baseball Dispute 8167-T: SportsJudge.com Approves Trade of A. Gonzalez for McCann & Broxton

SPORTSJUDGE.COM

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Index No. 8167-T

Date: July 27, 2010

League Type: Rotisserie, 5x5

Dispute: TRADE REVIEW

Judge: BRIAN DOYLE

TRADE BETWEEN EVIL EMPIRE & MCNACK IS ACCEPTED

COMMISSIONER OF EP RULES BASEBALL KEEPER LEAGUE

Petitioner,

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EVIL EMPIRE & MCNACK

Respondent

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Issue


The Commissioner of the EP Rules Baseball Keeper League brings this claim in the Court of Fantasy Baseball Disputes to determine a fantasy baseball dispute involving the proposed trade of Evil Empire players Brian McCann (C, Atlanta Braves), Jonathan Broxton (RP, Los Angeles Dodgers) and Josh Willingham (OF, Washington Nationals) to McNack for players Adrian Gonzalez (1B, San Diego Padres), Chase Headley (3B/OF, San Diego Padres) and Yadier Molina (C, St. Louis Cardinals). This court accepts the proposed trade.


The Law on Upholding a Trade


In the SportsJudge.com Court of Fantasy Baseball Disputes, the general rule, absent contrary language in a league constitution, is that any trade shall be upheld as long as the trade adequately benefits both teams. (See Public Opinion No. 101, Big Red Rockers v. Big City Bombers). A fantasy baseball trade adequately benefits both teams if it allows both teams a reasonable chance to move up in the standings. (See Unpublished Opinion No. 468-T, Commissioner Gary B. v. Ever-Lastings & 2 Legit 2 Quit).


Where the fantasy trade dispute involves a keeper league, this court will also consider a team’s likely performance in future years, especially with respect to the team currently ranked lower in the standings (See Unpublished Opinion No. 3704-T, Commissioner Paul Schultz v. Snakes & Blutos). However, when a club in a keeper league makes a trade based on the perceived future benefit of a player, that future benefit must be concrete, substantial, and imminent, in light of the players traded. (See Public Opinion No. 8165-T, Commissioner EP Rules v. Yoons Goons & McNack).


The Proposed Trade


The proposed trade has Evil Empire sending Brian McCann (.274, 13 HR, 51 RBI, 43 R, 3 SB) Jonathan Broxton (3.00 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 19 SV, 57 K, 3 W) and Josh Willingham (.273, 15 HR, 50 RBI, 50 R, 7 SB) to McNack for Adrian Gonzalez (295, 21 HR, 64 RBI, 57 R, 0 SB), Chase Headley (.269, 7 HR, 34 RBI, 55 R, 13 SB) and Yadier Molina (.236, 4 HR, 38 RBI, 21 R, 6 SB).


The Analysis


In the SportsJudge.com Court's fantasy judgment, this trade reasonably benefits both teams as McNack is very likely to move up in the 2010 standings, while Evil Empire may move up in the standings and has acquired a player with some keeper value in Adrian Gonzalez.


Currently, the standings indicate that McNack is in the bottom half of the league in stolen bases, runs, home runs and saves. With the addition of Jonathan Broxton, McNack is almost certain to gain at least two important points in saves. In addition, by adding McCann and Willingham (and perhaps more importantly losing the light-hitting Molina), McNack is likely to gain some important points in batting average.


Evil Empire likewise has the potential to move up in the standings, by improving in runs (within 10 runs of two teams) and home runs (within 11 home runs of three teams). Chase Headley and Adrian Gonzalez both provide a drastic increase in runs scored while equaling the home run output given up in the trade.


In addition, the acquisition of Gonzalez gives Evil Empire a potential third keeper, or trade bait for another team. While Evil Empire already has Joey Votto, Roy Halladay, and Carl Crawford as its likely keepers for 2010, Gonzalez serves as a legitimate alternative to any of the three, and could pave the way for a future trade. With only a year and a half left on his contract, there is an even greater potential for a future payoff if Gonzalez is traded to a hitter-friendly ballpark. Any such trade, while highly speculative, would surely increase his already impressive numbers he has accumulated in a pitcher-friendly home stadium.


Finally, the SportsJudge.com Court of Fantasy Baseball Disputes notes with respect to this fantasy baseball dispute that while it can be argued that McCann is also potential keeper for some team, the Court finds this argument implausible, given the emergence of young catchers such as Posey and Carlos Santana as the new elite at that position.


Holding


Based on the foregoing, this court accepts the proposed trade of Evil Empire players Brian McCann (C, Atlanta Braves), Jonathan Broxton (RP, Los Angeles Dodgers) and Josh Willingham (OF, Washington Nationals) to McNack for players Adrian Gonzalez (1B, San Diego Padres), Chase Headley (3B/OF, San Diego Padres) and Yadier Molina (C, St. Louis Cardinals). This court accepts the proposed trade.

Monday, July 26, 2010

Fantasy Baseball Dispute 8166-T: SportsJudge.com Rejects Trade of Pierre (yr 1 of 3, $25) for Porcello (yr. 2 of 3, $7)

SPORTSJUDGE.COM

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Index No. 8166 – T

Date: July 25, 2010

League Type: 12-TEAM 4X4

Dispute: FANTASY TRADE DISPUTE

Judge: Matthew Cohen

TRADE BETWEEN CLINTON DIPLOMATS & DOME DOGS IS REJECTED.

BEER BATTER LEAGUE

Petitioner,

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CLINTON DIPLOMATS & DOME DOGS

Respondent

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The Commissioner of the Beer Batter League brings this claim in the COURT OF FANTASY BASEBALL to resolve a fantasy baseball dispute involving the proposed trade of Clinton Diplomats players Juan Pierre (OF, Chicago White Sox – 1st year of Contract at $25) and Brian Sweeney (RP, Seattle Mariners – 1st year of Contract at $1) to the Dome Dogs for players Rick Porcello (SP, Detroit Tigers – 2nd year of Contract at $7) and DeWayne Wise (OF, Toronto Blue Jays – 1st year of Contract at $1). This Court rejects the proposed trade.

The Law on Upholding a Trade


In this court, it is the general rule that any fantasy baseball trade shall be upheld as long as the trade adequately benefits both teams. (See Public Opinion No. 101, Big Red Rockers v. Big City Bombers). A trade reasonably benefits both teams if it allows both teams a reasonable chance of moving up in the standings. (See Unpublished Opinion No. 468-T, Commissioner Gary B. v. Ever-Lastings and 2 Legit 2 Quit).


If the league is a keeper league, as is the case here, the Court will also consider in evaluating the fantasy trade dispute a team’s likely performance in future years, especially with respect to the team currently ranked lower in the standings (See Unpublished Opinion No. 3704-T, Commissioner Paul S. v. Snakes & Blutos). This Court recognizes that fantasy team owners may have different strategies in terms of short-term and long-term goals; and that while one fantasy team may try to maximize its chances of winning prize money this year, another team may play for the future (See Unpublished Opinion No. 3731-T, Commissioner v. Muleskinners & Southsiders). As such any trade brought by the Beer Batter League will be approved as long as it reasonably benefits both teams either for the present season or for the future. (See Unpublished Opinion No. 3797-T, Beer Batter League v. Foo Dogs & Maulers).


The Proposed Trade


The disputed fantasy baseball trade is a 2-for-2 trade:


Clinton Diplomats proposes to send to Dome Dogs (current 2010 statistics in parentheses):

· Juan Pierre (.250 Avg., 0 HR, 18 RBI, 35 SB )

· Brian Sweeney (1 Win, 0 Saves, 4.02 ERA, 1.09 WHIP)


Dome Dogs proposes to send to Clinton Diplomats:

· Rick Porcello (4 Wins, 0 Saves, 5.55 ERA, 1.59 WHIP)

· DeWayne Wise (.262 Avg., 2 HR, 9 RBI, 2 SB)


The Analysis


According to the Beer Batter League Constitution, any player with a salary of $25 or more is considered an “asterisk” player. By its nature the asterisk players are the most valuable in the league. When there is not another asterisk player on the other end of the deal, the value of one of the players on the other end must at least have the potential to earn the value of an asterisk player during the remainder of their current contract. If this does not occur, then the two players involved must at least have the potential of equaling the stats of the asterisk player.


In reviewing this trade, the Court will start with the two lesser players involved, Brian Sweeney and DeWayne Wise. Sweeney is a marginal player at best, while DeWayne Wise is nothing special. Even President Obama, a White Sox fan, could not remember DeWayne Wise’s name. In an AL-Only league, as is the case here, Wise does have some value as a bottom level OF, however, it is not enough value to help the Dome Dogs equal the value of an asterisk player when combined with another player.


With that understanding, the Court must look at the present and future values of Juan Pierre and Rick Porcello in evaluating the fantasy trade dispute. If each team can reasonably benefit from the fantasy trade either for the remainder of 2010 or in the future, then the trade can be accepted. For this season, there is no question that Pierre is of much greater value then Porcello. Pierre is a stolen base machine, while Porcello is marginal at best in all four pitching categories.


As such, in order to decide this trade the question becomes whether the Clinton Diplomats can reasonably improve their team in the future with Porcello. (See Unpublished Opinion No. 3731-T, Commissioner v. Muleskinners & Southsiders). Last month, this Court accepted a trade involving Porcello ruling that his performance last year was enough to give the benefit of the doubt that this season has simply been a sophomore slump, and that he could provide good value next year for only $7. (See Public Opinion No.8007-T, Beer Batter League v. Mark’s Maulers & Dome Dogs).


While that is true, it is not enough projected value to equal the value of Pierre next season. Pierre gives any team that owns him one of the top if not the top base stealers in the AL. There is no sign that this will change in either 2011 or 2012. While Porcello has immense talent and is one of the best pitching prospects in baseball, he does not project to be a league leader in any category during the life of his current contract, nor does he project to produce asterisk level statistics during the 2011 season. As such, this trade does not reasonably benefit both teams either in 2010 or in the future. Because of this fact that it will not benefit both teams, the trade must be rejected.


Holding


Based on the foregoing, this court rejects the proposed trade of Clinton Diplomats players Juan Pierre (OF, Chicago White Sox – 1st year of Contract at $25) and Brian Sweeney (RP, Seattle Mariners – 1st year of Contract at $1) to the Dome Dogs for players Rick Porcello (SP, Detroit Tigers – 2nd year of Contract at $7) and DeWayne Wise (OF, Toronto Blue Jays – 1st year of Contract at $1).

Friday, July 23, 2010

Hall of Fame Inductee Andre Dawson Important in Fight Against Baseball Collusion

This Sunday, power-hitting outfielder Andre Dawson will earn his induction into the Major League Baseball Hall of Fame. To many, Dawson is best known for his 438 career home runs, 314 stolen bases, and 1987 MVP Award.

However, from a sports law perspective, Dawson is also important for having signed a blank contract with the Chicago Cubs during the 1986-87 off-season--an act that helped to expose Major League Baseball's collusive practices during that era.

According to labor arbitrator George Nicolau's 1988 arbitration ruling, he notes that Dawson was so willing to leave the Expos during the collusion era that he called a unilateral press conference to announce he would sign a blank contract to play for the Cubs. Embarrassed by these events, Cubs management then offered the all-star outfielder a contract for $500,000—almost half of his previous season’s salary.

After accepting this 50% pay cut, Dawson won the 1987 National League MVP for the last-place Cubs--becoming the first play in baseball history to win that award for a last place team.

(Cross-posted on Sports Law Blog)

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Fantasy Baseball Dispute 8165-T: SportsJudge.com Rejects Trade of Longoria for Howard & Sabathia


SPORTSJUDGE.COM

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Index No. 8165-T

Date Issued: July 17, 2010

Date Rendered: July 21, 2010

League Type: Rotisserie, 5x5

Dispute: TRADE REVIEW

Judge: Marc Edelman

TRADE BETWEEN YOONS GOONS AND MCNACK IS REJECTED

COMMISSIONER OF EP RULES BASEBALL KEEPER LEAGUE

Petitioner,

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YOONS GOONS & MCNACK

Respondent

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Syllabus:


The SportsJudge.com Court of Fantasy Baseball has long held under its default rules that a trade shall be upheld as long as it reasonably benefits both teams. In this vein, the court has held that, in a keeper league, a team’s likely performance in future years may be considered, and that, in a keeper league, club owners at their discretion may choose to play for the future rather than the present.


This case, however, tests the limits of how far this court may delve into the future when seeking to determine the benefit of a deal involving a non-dollar keeper league. The court ultimately rejects the notion that a team out of playoff contention in a non-dollar keeper league could incur a good-faith benefit by trading a healthy 31-year old player plus an additional "top 40" player for a healthy 25-year old player of equal statistical value.


While the court recognizes that under its default rules that age may constitute a factor in assessing the future benefit of a deal, the court concludes that age may not serve as the exclusive factor, especially where the team trading the older star also trades another player of substantial value. The court further explains that when a club makes a trade based on perceived future benefit, that future benefit has to be concrete, substantial and imminent, in light of the players traded.


Thus, the court rejects the proposed trade of Evan Longoria, Carlos Lee and Mark Buehrle for Ryan Howard, Aramis Ramirez and C.C. Sabathia.


Issue


The Commissioner of the EP Rules Baseball Keeper League brings this claim in the Court of Fantasy Baseball to determine the status of the proposed trade of Evan Longoria (3B, Tampa Bay), Carlos Lee (OF, Houston) and Mark Buehrle (P, Chicago White Sox) from Yoons Goons to McNack for Ryan Howard (1B, Philadelphia), Aramis Ramirez (3B, Chicago Cubs) and C.C. Sabathia (P, New York Yankees).


The Law on Upholding a Trade


In this court, it is the general rule that any fantasy baseball trade shall be upheld as long as it adequately benefits both teams. (See Public Opinion No. 101, Big Red Rockers v. Big City Bombers). A trade reasonably benefits both teams if it allows both teams a reasonable chance of moving up in the standings. (See Unpublished Opinion No. 468-T, Commissioner Gary B. v. Ever-Lastings and 2 Legit 2 Quit). In addition, where a league is a keeper league, a trade may reasonable benefit both teams if it is likely to improve the performance of a team in future years, especially with respect to a team that is currently ranked lower in the standings (See Unpublished Opinion No. 3704-T, Commissioner Paul Schultz v. Snakes & Blutos).


The Proposed Trade


The two lead players in this trade, Evan Longoria (2010: .302, 60 runs, 13 HR, 63 RBI, 14 SB) and Ryan Howard (2010: .299, 60 runs, 21 HR, 74 RBI, 0 SB), need no introduction. Both are among the best fantasy players at their position, as well as in the game overall. Their current values are nearly identical, with Howard providing more raw power and Longoria stealing more bases. In most leagues, it is a toss-up as to which player should be drafted first. Howard has a better track record, but Longoria is six years younger. Howard’s physical shape concerns some owners, but Longoria has more of experience on the DL with injuries. Howard plays in a better hitting ballpark, but Longoria enjoys the advantage of playing in the American League where he can occasionally serve as the DH.



Yahoo Rank Actual 2010

Yahoo Rank Actual 2009

Yahoo Rank Actual 2008

Yahoo Rank Projected for 2010

Ryan Howard

15

7

20

9

Evan Longoria

16

31

112

7


By contrast, the other players in the trade are nowhere close to equal. While not a keeper in the EP Rules league last season, C.C. Sabathia (2010: 12 wins, 3.13 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 110K) remains one of the better starting pitchers in baseball and certainly deserves mention in the same breadth as two of two starting pitchers that were keepers—Felix Hernandez and Johan Santana. While Sabathia would likely not be a keeper on either Yoons Goons or McNack, he is about as good of a player that does not fall within a team’s top three. In addition, Aramis Ramirez (2010: .226, 37 runs, 15 HR, 47 RBI, 0 SB), despite his awful first half while playing with a thumb injury, is one of the better non-keeper third baseman in the league. Even despite his horrid start to the season, some reasonable fantasy owners may currently prefer Ramirez to Mark Reynolds and Pablo Sandoval—both third-baseman keepers this season in the EP League.


By contrast, Mark Buehrle (2010: 8 wins, 4.14 E.R.A., 1.41 WHIP, 54 K) and Carlos Lee ( 2010: .240, 17 runs, 12 HR, 48 RBI, 1 SB) are generally perceived to be players of far less value—both statistically and in terms of future impressions. Mark Buerhle is a far worse fantasy pitcher than he is in real life given that he gives up many hits and strikes out few batters. Meanwhile, Carlos Lee’s numbers, while possibly impressive at other positions, are far less remarkable for an outfielder.



Yahoo Rank Actual 2010

Yahoo Rank Actual 2009

Yahoo Rank Actual 2008

Yahoo Rank Projected for 2010

C.C. Sabathia

37

36

6

40

Mark Buehrle

408

181

181

211


Yahoo Rank Actual 2010

Yahoo Rank Actual 2009

Yahoo Rank Actual 2008

Yahoo Rank Projected for 2010

Aramis Ramirez

295

249

47

48

Carlos Lee

310

80

63

65


Analysis


Upon first glance, this seems to be a deal of A-Ram and Carlos Lee for Sabathia and Buehrle—a trade that would never pass muster—disguised by the inclusion of two equal superstars that cancel each other out.


However, McNack, quite articulately, contends that the court is not seeing the full picture. According to McNack, this trade is actually to his long-term advantage because, among the star players in the deal, Longoria (born October 7, 1985) is six years longer than Howard (born October 19, 1979 ) and thus will serve as his star keeper for many years after Howard passes his prime.


While this court has looked at hundreds of cases involving the present for the future, it has never before needed to address an argument where the future is so far away. Indeed, even if you accept the McNack argument as true, Howard is healthy and just 31. Thus, is likely would not be for another 4-5 years until his numbers begin to decline.


Not many fantasy leagues make it 4-5 years, much less beyond. While the EP Rules League is impressively in year 10, our history has found that even many of the strongest fantasy leagues destabilize over that period of time. Thus, in allowing this trade, there is a real risk that McNack, Yoons Goons and others will be gone from the league far before the future value of this deal is felt.


Moreover, even if the EP Rules league does last another decade, if the court were willing under its default rules to give substantial weight to ephemeral possibilities, the court would still have to draw the line somewhere. Otherwise, one could argue that the trade of C.C. Sabathia for Bryce Harper reasonably benefits both teams. We presume that most leagues that come to SportsJudge.com and ask us to apply our default rules would not be pleased with such a result.


Thus, this case truly tests the limits of how far this court may delver into the future when seeking to determine the benefit of a deal involving a non-dollar keeper league, especially given our belief that McNack was genuinely interested in approving his team for the long haul. In addressing this issue, while we acknowledge that under our default rules age may constitute a factor in assessing the future benefit of a deal, the court concludes that age may not serve as the exclusive factor. That is especially true here, given the high level of players traded by McNack, and that currently, there are no signs that Ryan Howard’s skills are declining.


The court further finds that when a club makes a trade based on perceived future benefit, that future benefit has to be concrete, substantial and imminent, in light of the players traded. To the extent Evan Longoria actually is a better keeper than Ryan Howard, that conclusion is not clear based on past statistics nor indicative in any significant way, at least for the next several years. Thus, the court concludes there is insufficient benefit for McNack in the deal and thus rejects it.


As a final point of note, this conclusion is reached solely under our default rules. Should the EP Rules wish to allow fantasy owners to consider the very long-term future of their clubs, the league needs to change their league constitution to express as much.


Conclusion


Applying the SportsJudge.com Court of Fantasy Baseball default rules, the proposed trade of Evan Longoria, Carlos Lee and Mark Buehrle (P, Chicago White Sox) for Ryan Howard, Aramis Ramirez and C.C. Sabathia (P, New York Yankees) fails for not adequately benefiting both teams.