This week the Tour heads down to N'awlins to play the crazy TPC Louisiana. This is a crazy course because nobody really knows what it takes to win here. Many people will tell you a strong putting performance is the key, while others say accuracy from the tee box is the most important factor. Still yet others will adamantly claim that hitting greens with your irons is the most important part of the game on this course.
Success here has come in many forms in the past and it appears that many different styles of play can succeed here. So who is going to play well this week? I have a few reasoned picks that are based on a formula of momentum, past success and gut-feeling.
First, I think Brian Davis has a lot of confidence coming in this week after his great weekend (despite the ugly ending to his tournament) at Hilton Head. I think Davis folded under the pressure last week and that tells us a lot about where he stands as far as being ready to win on this Tour. I still think he will have a good week, simply because the timing of his swing is perfect, but don't look for him to close on Sunday anytime soon.
I also think Charles Howell III is going to have a good week. He almost won here last year where he finished tied for second so we know he can play well here. Also, he has six Top-25 finishes in 2010 so we know his game is on. Look for Trip to have a good week.
I am not quite ready to give up on Jerry Kelly even though he might as well have putted with an upside-down left-handed driver with the headcover still on last week (he finished last in putting during last week's tournament). Nobody seemed to notice that he actually played quite well other than his putting. I am willing to bet the poor putting was a fluke and that JK will be back to form this week to contend for the trophy. . . And he won here last year! This is my pick to win IF he decides to use a putter rather than an elongated lint-brush on the greens.
My sleeper pick is Bryce Molder this week. He has actually been quite consistent this season which makes me think he may be good for a Top-10 this week.
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