Friday, November 30, 2007

Matt's Stats: Week 13 NFL Preview

Week 13 is the final week of the Regular Season for most leagues, so for those of you still lucky enough to be alive, Good Luck!! Here are the picks and players for Week 13 in the National Football League:

"Play" or "Stay Away":

QB - Play Jon Kitna (QB, Detroit Lions). Don't get fooled by last weeks game against the Giants, the Vikings pass defense is still the worst in the league (ranked last in the NFL). In Week 2, Kitna missed half of the game with a concussion and still returned to lead Detroit to a comeback win with 245 Yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. Expect Kitna to have a big game this week against Minnesota with his 3rd 300 yard game of the year and 6th game of the year with atleast 2 TD's.

Stay Away from Matt Schaub (QB, Houston Texans). Schaub has made for an excellent start in weeks that Andre Johnson is healthy, but look elsewhere this week. Schaub sustained two different injuries (ankle and hip) last week and is going up against the 7th ranked defense of the Tennessee Titans. Add all of this to the fact that Albert Haynesworth is likely returning to the Titans Dline and it equals a tough night for Schaub.

RB - Play Clinton Portis (RB, Washington Redskins). Portis is having an excellent season so far with 870 Yards and 6 TDs. Portis is against the Buffalo Bills, a team ranked 23rd against the Run giving up an average of 119.7 yards per game. There are really two ways teams deal with tragedy, they can just collapse or they can rebound into an unstoppable team (ex: Giants 35-0 win over Washington when their owner Wellington Mara died). Portis was best friends with Sean Taylor and I expect him to have a career day in his honor. If you have Portis on your team make sure to have him in your starting lineup!

Stay away from Willis McGahee (RB, Baltimore Ravens). Even with an ankle injury, McGahee is one of the most consistent RBs in the NFL (910 Rushing Yards and 6 Rushing TDs), but if you have other solid backups this could be a good time to use them. McGahee should have a rare off week as he goes up against the New England Patriots (5th Ranked against the Run in the NFL, allowing only 86.2 Rushing Yards per game). The Ravens offense is one of the worst in the league and the Patriots will be looking to rebound from last weeks game against Philly. With Baltimore falling behind by a large margin early, McGahee will not get many attempts to run. Save McGahee until next week against Indy.

WR - Play Steve Smith (WR, Carolina Panthers). It has been a disappointing year for both Steve Smiths this year, but expect the one that everyone expected Fantasy stats from to finally perform. Vinny is back at QB, so Smith will get passes thrown his way. SF allows 242.2 Receiving Yards per game (Ranked 24th in the NFL). If you have stuck with Smith this long, now is the time to finally get some points. Look for Smith to get his first TD since Week 6 as well as 80-100 Yards Receiving this week.

Stay away from Anthony Gonzalez (WR, Indianapolis Colts). After 5 consecutive bad games, Gonzalez finally broke out on Thanksgiving night with 6 catches for 105 yards. Gonzalez should produce eventually but don't expect a big game this week against Jacksonville. The Jaguars know how to shut down the Colts Offense. In his last 5 games against Jacksonville, Peyton has thrown only 4 TDs, while also throwing 3 INTs. Against this kind of defense, it is not the time to take a chance on an unproven WR.

Survival of the Fittest:

It was closer then I expected, but the Patriots win over the Eagles last week put my record to 11-2 for the season. The pick this week is the Cleveland Browns. Arizona plays well at home but Cleveland is on a roll. I expect the Browns to win by at least 10 points this week, as they continue their run to the Playoffs for the first time since 2002.

Have a Great Week 13!

Related Posts by Subject