Matt's Stats: Thank You Aaron Heilman

As everyone knows by now, the Mets traded for J.J Putz during the Winter Meetings for a pile of players that included Aaron Heilman. While it was an excellent trade for the Mets, it had the side effect of Mets fans around the world celebrating Heilman is gone, and it also led to such headlines as "Goodbye Putz (with Heilman picture), Hello Putz (with J.J. Putz picture)" in the gossip-laden NY Post.

Yes it is true that Heilman needed a change of scenery but all anyone ever mentions is his one poor season in 2007 or that Molina HR. People forget that from 2005-2007 Heilman was one of the best set-up men in baseball posting ERAs of 3.17, 3.62, and 3.03.

I am hear to say thank you Heilman for your time in New York. You finally got your wish to start, so good luck in Seattle! And, as a late round pick in an AL-only league, you may just have some fantasy value yet.

Deputy Justice Matt Cohen Passes NY Bar Exam

It gives me great pleasure to announce that Deputy Justice Matt Cohen (pictured here third from the right) has passed the New York Bar Exam. Matt Cohen has been a member of the SportsJudge.com team since January 2007. I have no doubt he will make an outstanding attorney.

Matt's Stats: 2008 Baseball Predictions

It has been a great first week of the season with lots of early season surprises all over. Who would think the Tigers would start 0-4 and the Royals 3-1? Who thought Pedro Martinez and Mike Hampton would be on the DL so early in the season? Well, maybe some things are predictable. With that in mind here are the Matt's Stats Predictions for the 2008 MLB Season:

AL East:

Boston Red Sox

Tampa Bay Rays (Wild Card)

New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays

Baltimore Orioles

AL Central:

Detroit Tigers

Cleveland Indians

Kansas City Royals

Minnesota Twins

Chicago White Sox

AL West:

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Seattle Mariners

Texas Rangers

Oakland Athletics

NL East:

New York Mets

Philadelphia Phillies (Wild Card)

Washington Nationals

Atlanta Braves

Florida Marlins

NL Central:

Milwaukee Brewers

Cincinnati Reds

Chicago Cubs

St. Louis Cardinals

Pittsburgh Pirates

Houston Astros

NL West:

Colorado Rockies

Los Angeles Dodgers

Arizona Diamondbacks

San Diego Padres

San Francisco Giants

ALCS: Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

NLCS: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

World Series: New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

World Champions: New York Mets in 6 Games

End of Season Awards:

AL MVP: Vladimir Guerrero

NL MVP: Matt Holliday

AL CY Young: Josh Beckett

NL CY Young: Johan Santana

Have a Great Weekend!

Matt's Stats: Baseball Preview Edition

It seems like spring training just began but we are now only a week and a half away from the exciting Japan opener. With that in mind, we are now down to the final positional preview of the year. This last week we did the starting pitchers rankings (I still don't get all the love for Chris Young in the comment section, he is definitely above average, but not a top 5 pitcher in the league) and this week we will conclude with the relief pitchers. There are many differing ways of thought on drafting relievers. Some draft them early and often, and some wait for the inevitable closers that will be available on the waiver wire throughout the year. Personally, I like to have a few big name closers but would never want to be the first to take one. Between the top closer and the 10th closer there isn't much of a difference, but I still believe in taking a big one. What I try to do is wait until closers are starting to be taken and then after about 4 are gone I make my move and get one of the big name closers. I usually prefer to take three closers, with 2 being upper echelon closers and one later on in the draft, maybe one of the bottom more average closers, leading to a high probability of winning the saves category each week. With that in mind here are the top 5 Relievers in each league this season:

NL Relievers:

1) Takashi Saito (RP - Los Angeles Dodgers) - Saito would not be my top choice for closer if forming an expansion team today, but he is the top Fantasy closer this year in the NL. Saito's stats in his two MLB seasons are much better then anyone could have expected when he arrived in America two seasons ago. In 2006 he was 6-2 with 24 saves, 107 K's in 78.1 innings, with a 2.07 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. In 2007, Saito improved on most of those numbers with a 2-1 record, 39 saves, 78 K's in 64.1 innings, with an impressive 1.40 ERA and 0.72 WHIP. Whether it was Wetteland or Mariano, Torre always seems to get the most out of his closer and Saito should be no exception. Look for 40 saves and the lowest ERA and WHIP of any closer in the NL.

2) Francisco Cordero (RP - Cincinnati Reds) - For whatever reason many have criticized Cordero's signing with Cincy, but he is still one of the best closers in the league. Last year in Milwaukee, Cordero had 44 Saves (his second season over 40 saves), and totaled 86 K's in 63.1 innings. Cordero's ERA and WHIP may not be what Saito's are (2.98 and 1.11), but they are still respectable and Cordero should be one of the first relievers off the board in the NL.

3) Billy Wagner (RP - New York Mets) - Wagner is not as dominant with the Mets as he was in his early years with Houston, but he is still one of the top relievers in the NL. The Mets will win plenty of games this year, and if their injuries continue they will be in plenty of close games, making it very likely Wagner gets more save opportunities than last season. Wagner had 34 saves in 2007 and 40 in 2006, barring another late season Mets collapse in 2008 look for Wagner to get closer to 40 saves and about 90 strikeouts.

4) Trevor Hoffman (RP - San Diego Padres) - Hoffman may be old, but as long as you don't tell him your Fantasy season is on the line, he will be able to get you a lot of saves. Hoffman had 42 saves last year, his 4th season in a row and 9th season in his career with over 40 saves.

5) Jose Valverde (RP - Houston Astros) - Valverde broke out last year and led the MLB in saves with 47, but is no higher on this list because of him playing on a possible last place team in Houston. Valverde should be good again, but expect less save opportunities during the season. Also, probably meaningless but of interest over his 5 seasons in the majors: 2003 - 2.15 ERA and 0.99 WHIP, 2004 - 4.25 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, 2005 - 2.44 ERA and 1.07 WHIP, 2006 - 5.84 ERA and 1.46 WHIP, 2007 - 2.66 ERA and 1.12 WHIP...Will this pattern continue in 2008? Everyone knows relievers change a lot from year to year so has Valverde turned the table on his career or is he due for another off season? Only time will tell.

AL Relievers:

1) Joe Nathan (RP - Minnesota Twins) - Nathan is the best closer in the majors and there is no reason not to expect another big season in 2008. Since becoming a closer in 2004, Nathan has had 44, 43, 36, and 37 Saves, with ERAs of 1.62, 2.70, 1.58, and 1.88, and WHIPs of 0.98, 0.97, 0.79, and 1.02. And that's without even mentioning that he can get up to 20 more K's then innings pitched in any season. It'll cost you an early pick but Nathan is the best there is when drafting a closer.

2) Jonathon Papelbon (RP - Boston Red Sox) - In 2 seasons as a closer, Papelbon has totals of 35 and 37 Saves, ERA's of 0.92 and 1.85, and WHIPs of 0.78 and 0.77. Papelbon will also help you in the strikeout category as he totalled 84 strikeouts in only 58.1 innings last season. Papelbon also got to show off his dominance in the playoffs last year, possibly boosting his already high average draft position. Papelbon is an amazing closer and should be one of the first relievers taken in all drafts. Also don't forget to move Papelbon up if your league gives bonus points for dancing.

3) J.J. Putz (RP - Seattle Mariners) - Last year Putz was 6-1 with 40 saves, 82 K's in 71.2 innings, a 1.38 ERA and 0.70 WHIP, giving him one of the best years for a closer in 2007. Thanks to the Bedard acquisition Seattle should be even better this year. Expect Putz to get plenty of save opportunities, making him an excellent pick in 2008.

4) Francisco Rodriguez (RP - Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim) - K-Rod had 40 saves in 2007, his third consecutive season with at least 40 saves. Rodriguez is one of the best relievers at helping your strikeout total after getting at least 90 K's for 5 consecutive seasons. Also if you want to go by the Valverde every other season logic, 2003 - 3.03 ERA, 2004 - 1.82 ERA, 2005 - 2.67 ERA, 2006 - 1.73 ERA, 2007 - 2.81 ERA, 2008 - an ERA in the 1's? The AL has much better relievers then the NL, so in all MLB leagues, look for K-Rod to be the 4th closer off the board.

5) Bobby Jenks (RP - Chicago White Sox) - After exploding onto the scene in the 2005 Playoffs, Jenks has totalled over 40 saves in both seasons he has pitched. Last year, while the White Sox were a bad team, Jenks had one of his best seasons pitching to a 2.77 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP. You know what you get with Jenks, it may be ugly at times but overall the numbers will be there at the end of the season.

That's all for the positional preview of the 2008 Fantasy Baseball season. I hope everyone enjoyed it and would like to wish everyone good luck in all of their drafts this season! As always if anyone has any questions specific to their teams or leagues, post them in the comments section and I will be happy to answer them. Have a Great Weekend!!

Matt's Stats: Baseball Preview Edition

This week's preview brings me to the Starting Pitchers that will help your team this season. While I feel that starting pitchers should never be drafted too early, here are 10 difference makers at the position that are better then the rest and will help your team's drive to the championship.

NL Starting Pitchers:

1) Johan Santana (SP - New York Mets) - What more can be said about Santana then the press has already said while every writer around the country was waiting to find out where the Twins would trade him? Santana is 82-35, with a 2.93 ERA, and 1152 K's (an average of 230.4 K's per season) over the last 5 seasons with Minnesota. These stats should only improve in New York, thanks to facing a Pitcher in the 9th spot of the order instead of a DH, moving into a pitchers ballpark in Shea, and having one of the top offenses in the NL hitting behind him. It is not often that SP are recommended to go in the first round, but Santana makes an excellent end of the first round choice in all leagues this season.

2) Jake Peavy (SP - San Diego Padres) - Peavy makes for an easy choice for number 2 on the NL SP Rankings. In 2007 Peavy won the NL Pitching Triple Crown, leading the league in Wins (19), ERA (2.54), and Strikeouts (240). Peavy has shown a lot of consistency over his young career, having won 11 or more games for 5 consecutive seasons, and having had an ERA under 3.00 in 3 of the last 4 seasons. At the age of 26, Peavy has entered his prime and will only continue to get better. If you are looking to draft a SP early in your draft, make sure Peavy is one of the first you plan to take on draft day.

3) Carlos Zambrano (SP - Chicago Cubs) - Zambrano may have his drawbacks, as amplified by his fight with teammate Michael Barrett in their own dugout last year, but luckily you do not have to deal personally with fantasy players, you only want them to produce in the statistical department, and producing stats is exactly with Zambrano does. Zambrano has won at least 13 games for 5 seasons in a row, with an ERA under 4.00 for all 6 full seasons in which he has pitched. In 2007 Zambrano was tied for second in the NL in wins with 18, combined with a 3.95 ERA and 177 strikeouts. Thanks to his 12 career HRs (and 1 already this Spring) Zambrano would also be great evidence for a reason why hitting stats should count for pitchers in NL-Only leagues, as was asked asked by Marc Edelman in his blog on March 3rd. As it stands though, Zambrano's pitching stats are clearly enough to help a fantasy team and he is a top-4 Round pick in all drafts

4) Brandon Webb (SP - Arizona Diamondbacks) - This 2006 NL Cy Young Award Winner actually had a better season in 2007 then in 2006 in almost every category. He improved on his 2006 stats in 2007 by 2 wins (16-18), by .08 in ERA (3.10-3.01), and by 16 Strikeouts (178-194). Those improvements made it 3 consecutive seasons that he improved in all 3 of those main categories from his previous year's stats. Webb is still the ace, but should have less pressure this year in the D'Backs rotation thanks to Haren acquisition, and as a result, Webb's first 20 win season seems to be within reach for Webb in 2008.

5) Aaron Harang (SP - Cincinnati Reds) - Harang is probably the most underrated pitcher in the majors and should not be forgotten on draft day. Harang has had two consecutive seasons of 16 wins, three consecutive seasons of an ERA under 4.00, and two consecutive seasons of at least 216 strikeouts. Adding a better Reds team, and a better Closer in Cordero playing behind him, and Harang should be able to improve and get up to 18 wins this season.

AL Pitchers:

1) Josh Beckett (SP - Boston Red Sox) - Beckett may have finished 2nd in AL Cy Young voting last year, but he is clearly the best pitcher in the AL. Last season Beckett led the majors with 20 wins and had a 3.27 ERA and 194 Strikeouts. There is no reason to think that Boston will not be as good as they were last year when they won the World Series and led the MLB in Wins, which again makes Beckett the top AL pitcher, and a pitcher that should be taken in the top 3 or 4 Rounds of all drafts.

2) C.C. Sabathia (SP - Cleveland Indians) - While Beckett is a great pitcher and had all the playoff success last season, don't forget about Sabathia who had 19 Wins, 209 Strikeouts, and a 3.21 ERA, while winning the 2007 AL Cy Young Award. Sabathia will be motivated for a new contract this season and makes an excellent pick in all leagues.

3) John Lackey (SP - Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim) - Lackey has always been a consistent pitcher since bursting onto the scene in the 2002 World Series (winning 10 or more games in the last 5 seasons), but he really elevated his level of play in 2007 with a 19-9 Record, 179 Strikeouts and a 3.01 ERA. The Angels are primed to return to the playoffs in 2008 and Lackey will have to be a big part of that. Don't be afraid to draft Lackey any time in the first five rounds.

4) Fausto Carmona (SP - Cleveland Indians) - Carmona may not be as big of a name as the other three above him on this list, but Carmona had the same amount of wins (19) as Lackey and Sabathia had last year. Carmona does not get the strikeout totals that the other three above him on the list get (only 137 in 215 innings) but his ERA of 3.06 more then makes up for it, as well as a very respectable 1.21 WHIP. Carmona may be underrated a bit, but he is clearly one of the best pitchers in the American League.

5) Justin Verlander (SP - Detroit Tigers) - In two seasons with the Tigers, Verlander has combined for a 35-15 Record with a 3.65 ERA and 307 Strikeouts. Thanks to their offseason additions, the Tigers probably have the best lineup in the majors which will give Verlander added opportunities for wins in 2008, making 20 Wins, 200 Strikeouts, 3.60 ERA a distinct possibly. Verlander is not only a player that should help the Tigers quest for a championship this year, but is also one that will help lead many Fantasy teams to their league championship in 2008.

That's all for now, stay tuned for the Relief Pitchers Preview next week as I conclude the positional preview for the 2008 Fantasy Baseball season. As always, if anyone has any questions specific to their teams or leagues, post them in the comments section and I will be happy to answer them in next week's column. Have a Great Weekend!!

Matt's Stats: Baseball Preview Edition

Grapefruit and Cactus League play is now in full force and with that comes the official time when all Owners start preparing for their draft. This week we have a preview of the outfielders. Unlike with the other positions, many leagues start up to 5 or 6 outfielders, so with that in mind here are separate rankings for the top NL and the top AL outfielders in MLB.

NL Outfielders:

1) Matt Holliday (OF - Colorado Rockies) - Holliday has always been good but he had a career year in 2007 carrying the Rockies through the September hot streak and Rocktober on the way to Colorado's first World Series appearance. Last year, Matt Holliday hit the second most HR of any NL outfielders (36 HR), led all NL OF in RBI with 137 RBI (18 ahead of 2nd place), led all NL OF with 120 Runs (15 more then the next closest), led all outfielders with a .340 avg., and even gained a respectable 11 SB during the season. Holliday clearly had the best season of any NL OF in 2007, and there is no reason to think that there should be any decrease in stats. Holliday has improved in every major category in all 4 years he has been in the majors, and as a result don't be surprised to see an increase to 40+ HR this season, as well as more RBI with the young players in Colorado continuing to improve and get on base in front of Holliday. All of this clearly adds up to making Holliday, for the first time in his career, an automatic first round pick in all formats.

2) Carlos Beltran (OF, New York Mets) - Beltran may have had an off year in a few categories last year (34 less runs scored then in 2006 and 8 less HR then in 2006), but the rest of his numbers were there, and if his unusual talking this spring is any indication, Beltran is ready to rock and lead the Mets back to a division title. Beltran is a safe end of first round pick, he will hit .275, get about 37 HR, hit 115 RBI, and collect about 20 SB as long as he stays healthy. Don't ignore Beltran on draft day, as he is still clearly one of the best fantasy producers at the position.

3) Alfonso Soriano (OF, Chicago Cubs) - Many who drafted Soriano with one of the first picks in last year's draft were disappointed with Soriano's production. He clearly did not live up to the hype, but don't let that cause you to miss out on one of the top players in this year's draft. Soriano was slowed last year by injuries and getting used to Chicago, but once healthy and adjusted he hit .320 with 14 HR and 27 RBI in the month of September. If you are in the back part of the first round, make sure to draft Soriano or you may regret it for the rest of the season. Expect stats closer to his 2006 season when he hit 46 HR and ran for 41 SB.

4) Carlos Lee (OF - Houston Astros) - Houston may like their Mitchell Report players and they may have a bad team, but don't forget Lee who has nothing to do with any of that. Lee took a lot of money to sign with Houston before the 2007 season, where he did what he always does...he hit, totalling 32 Hr, 119 RBI, with a .303 avg. This all-star is definitely worth an early round pick and projects as one of the best outfielders in the game this season.

5) Brad Hawpe (OF - Colorado Rockies) - Even with a humidor it never hurts to have a bunch of Rockies on one's fantasy players, and with that it mind Hawpe is the 2nd of 5 Rockies on this list. Like Holliday, Hawpe really came into his own last year hitting .291 with a career high 29 HR and a career high 116 RBI. Hawpe is 28 years old and entering his prime so don't forget about Hawpe who seems like an easy pick to hit 30 HRs for the first time in his career.

AL Outfielders:

1) Carl Crawford (OF - Tampa Bay Rays) - The Junior Circuit may not have the power numbers out of the OF position that the Senior Circuit has, but when it comes to batting avg. and SB these AL OF will really help your Fantasy team, as is seen with Crawford. Crawford may hit 20 HR one day, but that is not why you are drafting him. He is guaranteed to hit .300, get 50 SB, and score close to 100 Runs and this is enough to make him a first round pick on draft day.

2) B.J. Upton (OF - Tampa Bay Rays) - It may not be saying much but this year, Tampa Bay clearly has their best team in Franchise history. One of the reasons why is that they have one of the best outfields in all of MLB. Upton for years was a top prospect and finally broke out last year hitting .300 with 24 HR, 82 RBI, 86 Runs scored, and 22 SB. The Rays lineup should be improved this year giving Upton greater RBI opportunities, allowing him to get his first 100 RBI season in 2008. Some owners may be used to ignoring Tampa Bay on draft day, but don't make this mistake! There are a lot of good Rays playing this year, and Upton is one of the best.

3) Magglio Ordonez (OF - Detroit Tigers) - Ordonez is an easy pick and is clearly one of the best outfielders in the majors. This Ordonez is the exact opposite of ex-Met Rey Ordonez in his offensive ability, meaning that he can actually hit. In 2007, Magglio hit a league leading .363 with 28 HR and 139 RBI and now will get to bat in an even better lineup in 2008. Ordonez may be 34 years old, but he still has a few more big years in him, making Ordonez an excellent early round selection on draft day.

4) Vladimir Guerrero (OF - Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim) - Vlad has probably been the most consistent player in the majors over the last 10 seasons and is a great value pick in Round 2. Guerrero is a lifetime .325 hitter and has averaged 35 HR and 113 RBI during that 10 year period with the Expos and Angels. Barring an injury, and with added protection in the lineup this year from Torii Hunter, Guerrero will put up those same numbers again. Take Guerrero on draft day, and that's one position you don't have to worry about for the rest of the year.

5) Alex Rios (OF - Toronto Blue Jays) - Rios is another player who has continued to improve during all four years of his career. In 2007 Rios had a career high in runs scored (114), HR (24), RBI (85), and SB (17), while hitting an impressive .297. Rios, at the age of 28, is another player just entering his prime, who should be able to get to 100 RBI for the first time in his career as he continues to improve. Playing in Canada, Rios has kind of flown under the radar, but don't forget about him. Rios is one of the best outfielders in the American League.

That's all for now, stay tuned for the Starting Pitchers Preview next week. As always, if anyone has any questions specific to their teams or leagues, post them in the comments section and I will be happy to answer them in next week's column. Have a Great Weekend!!

Matt's Stats: Baseball Preview Edition

Trash talking is in full force with the Phillies and Mets this week, which makes it the perfect time to preview the shortstops for the 2008 Fantasy season!

Shortstop:

1) Jose Reyes (SS - New York Mets) - Many may have Rollins coming off of the MVP award as the top ranked SS, but even after a big second half slump I still view Reyes as the top SS on the draft board. The reason for this is the SB category. Many drafters ignore that category even though it counts just as much as HR and RBI. Reyes totalled 78 SBs last year, 14 more then the next highest total. Taking HRs by comparison, 5 players were within 14 HRs of the MLB HR leader. Professor Reyes may not attempt as many steals this year after tiring out in the second half last year, but he should be a safe bet for 70 SBs if healthy during the season. Reyes also was 7th in the league in runs scored and hit a respectable .280 avg, making him an excellent first round pick. Take Reyes and be happy that you don't have to worry much about the SB category for the rest of the year.

2) Jimmy Rollins (SS - Philadelphia Phillies) - What more can you say about Rollins? He predicted victory last year in the NL East and backed it up with an MVP Season. He's a great player and for the first time should be considered an automatic first round pick. Rollins was second in the league in runs scored with 139 in 2007 and had an impressive 30 HR, 94 RBI, 41 SB, with a .296 avg. After accusing Beltran of plagiarism this week, expect another big season out of Rollins in 2008!

3) Hanley Ramirez (SS - Florida Marlins) - Ramirez may be a bit underrated playing in front of empty crowds in Florida, but don't over look him on draft day. In a position weak in fantasy stars, Ramirez is one of the best. After scoring 125 Runs, and hitting .332 with 29 HR, 81 RBI, 51 SB in his sophmore season, Ramirez projects as a late first round pick as he looks to only improve in 2008.

4) Troy Tulowitzki (SS - Colorado Rockies) - Tulowitzki had an impressive rookie campaign leading the Rockies to the National League Pennant. Tulowitzki hit .291 with 24 HR, 99 RBI, and 104 Runs scored in 2007. The only drawback with Tulowitzki is a real lack of ability to steal bases after having only 7 last year, while getting caught 6 times. Tulowitzki is the best of the second tier of shortstops and should be drafted sometime in the first five rounds on draft day.

5) Derek Jeter (SS - New York Yankees) - Jeter may not put up the statistics of the top 3 shortstops, but he is clearly one of the most consistent players at the position. He won't get an MVP award this year like ARod suggested this week, but a similar season to 2007 when he hit .322 with 102 Runs scored, 12 HR, 73 RBI, and 15 SB is pretty much a certainty. You know what you get when Jeter is on your Fantasy team and if you are looking for that consistency, Jeter makes an excellent pick on draft day.

Stay away from Miguel Tejada (SS - Houston Astros). He was once an MVP but that is a long time ago. Tejada may be on a new team, but the Mitchell Report and FBI investigations will bring a large distraction to both Tejada and his new team throughout the season. There are plenty of other shortstops around and it would not be recommended to go anywhere near Tejada on draft day.

That's all for now, stay tuned for the Outfield Preview next week. As always, if anyone has any questions specific to their teams or leagues, post them in the comments section and I will be happy to answer them in next week's column. Have a Great Weekend!!

Matt's Stats: Baseball Preview Edition

The steroid hearings are over and spring training has officially begun down in Florida and Arizona. With pitchers and catchers starting to play, fantasy league signups are in full force and with that in mind here is the fantasy preview for Third Base:

1) Alex Rodriguez (3B - New York Yankees) - This first ranking is the easiest one yet, Arod is clearly the best third basemen in the league, and an argument could even be made that he is the best player in the majors. Arod is finally comfortable in NY as proven by his .314 avg., 54 HR, 156 RBI, and 24 SB. Rodriguez may have fallen a bit in drafts last year, but that won't happen again. If you are lucky enough to be drafting when Arod is still around make sure you take him, otherwise you probably will regret it for the rest of the season.

2) David Wright (3B - New York Mets) - Wright has improved in every year of his career and there is no reason to think that 2008 will be any different. Last year Wright hit .325 with 30 HR, 107 RBI, 113 Runs, and 34 SB making him one of the top third basemen in every offensive category used in Fantasy. Wright projects as a late first round pick.

3) Miguel Cabrera (3B - Detroit Tigers) - Cabrera has also continued to improve every season with a .320 avg. last year combined with 34 HR, 119 RBI, and 91 Runs scored. The only thing keeping Cabrera behind Wright on this list is the lack of stolen bases, but when you consider the fact that his stats should go up playing in the much better Tigers lineup for the first time, it makes Cabrera an excellent early pick as well. 40 HR and 130 RBI should be possible.

4) Ryan Braun (3B - Milwaukee Brewers) - In his Rookie season Braun exploded onto the scene hitting .324 with 34 HR, 97 RBI, and 91 Runs scored. These stats would have been great for a rookie over a full season, but Braun only played 113 games, having not debuted until May 25th at San Diego. Projected over a full 162 game season, there is no reason to believe that this Rookie of the Year award winner wouldn't be capable of at least 40 HR and 120 RBI, making him another top pick on draft day.

5) Chipper Jones (3B - Atlanta Braves) - Chipper may not hit as many HRs or RBIs as the other 4 players on this list, but don't forget about Chipper. He is still a very consistent player hitting .337 with 29 HR, 102 RBI, and 108 Runs scored. This is also Chipper's last chance to hit at Shea, the stadium for which his son is named, and for those 10 games at least you can expect big numbers. Look for Jones as an excellent choice at 3B after the big 4 have been taken.

Stay away from Scott Rolen (3B - Toronto Blue Jays) - Rolen used to be a great player but he has only 35 HRs over the last three seasons and hit only .265 in 2006 thanks to his chronic shoulder problem. Rolen could bounce back for a good Toronto team, but it is way too risky a proposition to take a chance on come draft day. Let someone else take that chance on draft day.

That's all for now, stay tuned for the Shortstop Preview next week. As always, if anyone has any questions specific to their teams, post them in the comments section and they will be answered in next week's column. Have a Great Weekend!!

Matt's Stats: Baseball Preview Edition

As a Mets and Giants fan you don't get much better of a week. Sunday a great Super Bowl Championship...the first for a team I root for from when I was old enough to appreciate it...and then the parade and Johan being officially introduced. It's a sports week that will be tough to top, and defintely no week will come close to it atleast until this October! Anyway, lets get on to the second base preview.

Second Base:

1) Chase Utley (2B - Philadelphia Phillies) - Helped by both his pure talent and the bandbox that he plays in, Utley becomes the second consecutive Phillie leading these rankings. Utley has gained at least 100 RBIs for 3 consecutive seasons, is a lifetime .300 hitter, and if he stays healthy for a full season should be able to get 30 HRs and 120 RBIs. Utley is a first or second rounder and should be the first second baseman taken in all leagues.

2) Brandon Phillips (2B - Cincinnati Reds) - Phillips started off pretty slowly in his career with Cleveland after being acquired from Montreal in the Bartolo Colon deal, but he is finally realizing his talent since joining the Reds. Phillips is a gamer, as was proven in refusing to take a day off last September, when asked by the Manager after the team was long out of the playoff race. Add in the fact that the Reds will be improved with Dusty Baker as their manager and 30 HR, 100 RBI, 35 SBs should be possible for Phillips this year.

3) Dan Uggla (2B - Florida Marlins) - Uggla may not help you much in the avg. category (he hit only .244 last year), but his power numbers have been consistent during his two year career. If he hits his lifetime avg. of .263 with his 30 HR and 90 RBI that he has proven he will get each year, it makes Uggla into one of the top 2B in the majors.

4) Robinson Cano (2B - New York Yankees) - It's about time there is an AL player on this list, and Cano is clearly one of the best 2B in the majors. Cano's power numbers aren't as high as the other three on this list, he will never get you any stolen bases (career high of 5 in 2006), and he is very streaky as shown by his slow start last year, but Cano is still a lifetime .314 hitter and is capable of 20 HR and 100 RBI if everything goes right. Cano makes for an excellent pick when looking for a second basemen on draft day.

5) Jeff Kent (2B - Los Angeles Dodgers) - As a Mets fan who had to watch him every day for 3 and a half years in the early to mid '90s, it amazes me to say that Kent has turned himself into a hall of fame player. He may not be as good as he was in his prime with the Giants, but he will be rejuvinated with Torre as his manager and should be able to get 20 HR and 80 RBI with a .300 avg. This could be Kent's final year and he still makes a very safe pick at this position.

Stay away from Kaz Matsui (2B - Houston Astros) - I was always a big fan of Kaz, and it was great seeing him finally succeed last October, but stay away from him this year. With 32 SBs and an extended playoff run, I predict owners will be taking him sooner then they should. Matsui was in the perfect situation in Colorado and now that he is with a bad Houston team, I can see him struggling again. He may be great for Opening Day (Hit a HR on first at bat in 3 of 4 years in MLB), but other then that I'd be careful and only take him if he falls on draft day.

That's all for now, stay tuned for the Third Base Preview next week. As always, if anyone has any questions specific to their teams, post them in the comments section and they will be answered in next week's column. Have a Great Weekend!!

Matt's Stats: Baseball Preview Edition

As a die hard Mets fan this has been by far the most exciting week of the offseason with Johan Santana coming to Queens. I always thought there was a chance of the trade happening, but I never could have imagined that they could get him without trading Fernando Martinez, Mike Pelfrey, or Aaron Heilman as part of the deal. Pretty much the Mets gave up nothing in the offer and it reverses all the bad mojo and bad momentum the Mets had with the collapse at the end of the 2007 season. The 2008 baseball season is already off to a great start and pitchers and catchers are still a good 2 weeks away! Anyway, now that my celebratory Mets rant is complete it's on to the First Base Preview.

FIRST BASE:

1) Ryan Howard (1B - Philadelphia Phillies) - As a Mets fan, I hate to say it but there is no question that Howard is the best first baseman in the league. Hitting in the bandbox that is Citizen Bank Park guarantees that he will compete for an MVP award and hit about 50 HR and 130 RBI year in and year out. Adding Feliz as their 3B improves the Philly order and could lead to even more run production for Howard. When you are taking your 1B in this year's draft, make sure you rank Howard at the top of your list.

2) Prince Fielder (1B - Milwaukee Brewers) - He was a great steal by many last year as was evidenced by his 50 HR 119 RBI .288 .avg as a 6th round pick last year helping my team win it's championship. Unfortunately there is no way Fielder lasts this long in drafts, as he figures to have a repeat of his 2007 performance as the Brewers continue to improve. Try to get Fielder if you can in this year's draft.

3) Albert Pujols (1B - St. Louis Cardinals) - In many of the past seasons Pujols was the first or second player taken overall, let alone being the first first basemen to be taken off the draft board. Pujols had a bit of an off year last year by his standards (still hitting .327 with 32 HR and 103 RBI) on a dissapointing Cardinals team. While I don't necessarily think the Cardinals will be any better this year, I think a healthy Pujols should be back to his normal RBI and HR production in 2008. Don't forget that Pujols has gotten over 100 RBI's in all seven years of his career and has hit over 40 HR for four consecutive seasons (2003-2006). Pujols will make an excellent pick come draft day.

4) Justin Morneau (1B - Minnesota Twins) - Fresh off a new long term contract, Morneau will be looking for his third consecutive season of at least 31 HR and 111 RBI. His average may have been down 50 points last year from his 2006 avg., but even if he is more of a .270 hitter, it still makes for one of the best picks at the position. Draft the 2006 AL MVP winner if you can in 2008.

5) Paul Konerko (1B - Chicago White Sox) - Like many of the White Sox last year, Konerko had an off year. It was his worst year since 2003, hitting .259 with 31 HR and 90 RBI. Chicago should bounce back somewhat this year and I expect Konerko to do the same. At only 32 years old on Opening Day, Konerko should still be in the prime of his career. I'd expect a return to 100 RBI and 35 HR for Konerko in 2008.

Stay away from Carlos Pena (1B - Tampa Bay Rays) - I'm not sold yet on Pena who has been largely a journey man player for most of his 7 year career. There is a high possibility that Pena could be a one year wonder and assuming that someone jumps on him very early in the draft because of last season (46 HR and 121 RBI in 2007), I'd hold off on the risk and take a more proven player. Pena may have finally turned the tide on his career, but to me the early pick it would take to get Pena is not worth the risk.

Questions and Answers:

As I said last week, this section will be used to answer any questions regarding Fantasy Baseball that you may have. Do you have a question on a specific player, team, or league format? Post it in the comments section and I will be happy to respond in the next Matt's Stats. I'd like to thank Eddie Fenster for being the first person to send in questions, so here we go:

1) I am in a keeper league and I always hear about Victor Martinez becoming a 1B or DH. Should I be concerned?

I would not be concerned as of yet, because no matter what he will be eligible at C in 2008. That being said, watch closely over the first half of the season and if it appears the Indians are starting to use Martinez more at 1B or DH I would recommend trading him to someone valuing him as the top Keeper Catcher. Martinez's value goes down quite a bit if he changes positions, so if more evidence continues to mount against Martinez staying as C I would look for a trade, but to start the season I'd hold on to him.

2) My other league is an NL-only league with two catchers meaning we need backups. As a Mets fan, is Ramon Castro a viable option?

If you always need backup catchers then Ramon Castro is one of the best backup catchers in the NL. That being said however, I would never recommend Castro under normal circumstances for a fantasy team. Brian Schneider will be the Mets starter, and should play about the same amount of games that Lo Duca played in last year. Look for only 70-90 games played for the Mets this year out of Castro, but as was the case last year Castro will make the most of his opportunity.

3) Also for my NL-only league with two catchers, where does Ryan Doumit rank on your list?

I'm a Mets fan but I am pretty high on Doumit. As someone who has a Doumit bobblehead and started him for half of the season last year on my championship fantasy team. Doumit hit .274 with 9 HR and 32 RBI last year and I see no reason why an upgrade to 13-15 HR and 60 RBI wouldn't be possible when Doumit gets more playing time in 2008. I would consider Doumit to be around 6 or 7 in my NL Catcher Rankings if he still qualifies at the position in your league (don't forget he only played in 28 games there last year before moving to the OF) and he should make a very good mid-late round option in NL only leagues.

That's it for now, thanks for the good questions. Have a great weekend and you can all look for the Second Base preview next week!

Matt's Stats: Baseball Preview Edition

Welcome back to Matt's Stats. While football season is still going strong, the fantasy baseball season is already on the horizon. With that in mind its time to get going with the draft preview. How it will work is every Friday leading up to the season, a different position will be previewed. I would also be happy to answer any specific questions anyone has, so if you want to have your question answered in Matt's Stats, please post it in the comment section and I will answer it during the next week's article. Let's get on with the first preview!

CATCHERS:

1) Victor Martinez (C - Cleveland Indians) - Martinez continues to improve every year by getting over 100 RBIs for the first time in 2007 and hitting .300 for his third consecutive season. The Indians are a team on the rise and there is no reason for Martinez's stats to fall anytime soon.

2) Joe Mauer (C - Minnesota Twins) - Mauer has proven to be injury prone but when playing is one of the best catchers in the game. Mauer is consistent with a lifetime .313 avg. You can also count on 10-15 HRs and 70-90 RBIs. There was a time when the Twins drafted Mauer over Prior and everyone was complaining and calling them cheap, but it was clearly the better move. Draft Mauer if you have a chance in 2008.

3) Russell Martin (C - Los Angeles Dodgers) - In 2006 Martin was considered to be one of the best Canadian players in MLB, but after 2007 (.293 avg., 19 HR, 87 RBI) he is now considered to be one of the best Catchers in MLB. At only 25 by opening day, Martin should only improve and could be one of only two or three catchers this year to get 100 RBIs.

4) Jorge Posada (C - New York Yankees) - As a Mets fan I hate to say this, but Posada is good and one of the best hitting catchers in the majors. He hit .338 with 20 HR and 90 RBI in 2007, and while he is getting old should still get the same run production in 2008. While you can expect a lower avg this year (closer to his career .277 avg.) Posada still makes an excellent pick at catcher for the new season.

5) Brian McCann (C - Atlanta Braves) - McCann has been so good that the Braves traded Saltalamacchia last year, a player that was believed to be the future at the position for Atlanta. McCann has gotten over 90 RBIs in both full seasons he has played and there is no reason to think that 2008 should be any different.

Stay away from Paul Lo Duca (C, Washington Nationals) - He may give you decent stats (.272 avg., 9 HR, 54 RBI, .680 OPS, in not his best season in '07) as a catcher in deeper leagues, but he is ready for a big time down fall in 2008. Aside from the fact that he got a slight injury this week, he has been unresponsive since the Mitchel Report and is going to a new team where Jesus Flores is the future at the position. Look for Lo Duca to post one of his worst seasons this year and stay away from him if possible.

Have a great week and look for the First Base preview next week!

Matt's Stats: Week 16 NFL Preview

Congratulations to all of you out there who are lucky enough to be playing in the Championship game this week. My apologies to any of you who were counting on Willie Parker to score any points last night. Here we are with the final picks and players for the 2007 NFL Season:

"Play" or "Stay Away":

QB - Play Derek Anderson (QB, Cleveland Browns). Anderson didn't do much for you in the semifinals if you started him, but that was because of the blizzard. This week he goes against a Bengals team that is 25th in the NFL against the pass and is the team that he broke out against in Week 2 (328 Passing Yards, 5 TD and 1 INT). Anderson makes a great start this week for your Championship game.

Stay away from Jon Kitna (QB, Detroit Lions). Kitna is going against the Chiefs, who have been horrible as of late, making this a tempting start. Don't be fooled though, the Lions are in a tailspin and the Chiefs still rank 5th in the NFL against the Pass. Look elsewhere this week at QB.

RB - Play Kolby Smith (RB, Kansas City Chiefs). Outside of one bad game two weeks ago, Smith has been very good since taking over for Priest and LJ. Johnson recently had a set back so it appears that he won't be playing again this week. This adds up to an excellent start for Smith against a bad Lions rush defense, currently ranked 21st in the NFL.

Stay away from Clinton Portis (RB, Washington Redskins). Portis has had a much better season that I ever expected, but stay away from him here. The Vikings are the top team in the league, by a good margin, against the run. The Redskins will come into the game looking to pass, and could even use Ladell Betts more. Stay away from Portis this week.

WR - Play Santana Moss (WR, Washington Redskins). This is because of the same reason why you should stay away from Portis this week. The Vikings secondary gets a lot of turnovers but they still give up the most receiving yards of any team in the NFL. The Redskins have been on fire as of late, and will have to hope for the Santana Moss of old in trying to win the big Sunday Night Game. If you have held onto Moss for this long, he makes a good start for Week 16.

Stay away from Patrick Crayton (WR, Dallas Cowboys). Crayton has had an excellent season while Glenn has been out totalling 41 Catches for 624 Yards and 7 TDs. Crayton will be on the road in Carolina for the Saturday Night game, which as Seattle found out last week, is not as easy a team to beat as you would think. Carolina gives up the 12th least Receiving yards in the NFL, and when you add in the fact that Romo's finger is injured, you get a very risky start in Week 16. Stay away from Crayton this week if you have other options.

Survivor of the Fittest:

The Seahawks not only fell into a tie with the Bucs in the Playoffs, something that definitely makes me nervous as a Giants fan, but their 13-10 loss to the Panthers also put my record down to 12-4 for the Season. To close out the season the pick here is the Jacksonville Jaguars winning at home over the Oakland Raiders. The Jaguars are really getting on a role as of late on their way to the postseason for the first time since 2005, and I don't see any way that the Raiders can stop them this week. Once again, the pick this week is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Thanks to everyone who has been reading Matt's Stats throughout the 2007 Season. I hope everyone has a great Holiday season and you can all look for my return shortly after the new year, as I turn my sights to the upcoming baseball season.

Have a Great Week 16 and enjoy the rest of the Season!!!

Matt

Matt's Stats: Week 15 NFL Preview

I hope you are still alive as Round 2 of the Playoffs rolls around this Sunday. As you look to advance to the Championship here are all your players and picks for Week 15 in the National Football League.

"Play" or "Stay Away":

QB - Play Derek Anderson (QB, Cleveland Browns). Anderson has a streak of 3 consecutive weeks of 2 TDs and look for that to continue this week. This is the biggest game for the Browns since 2002 and they are going against a Bills defense that ranks 28th in the NFL against the pass. Expect the first 3 TD game for Anderson since Week 10 and at least 300 Yards.

Stay away from David Garrard (QB, Jacksonville Jaguars). At 13 TD and only 1 INT for the season, Garrard has been a very serviceable starter, but this is not the week to use him. Garrard is playing at Pittsburgh in a game the Steelers have to win. If you add in the fact that the Steelers give up the second least passing yards per game in the NFL, you get a very risky start if you own Garrard.

RB - Play Frank Gore (RB, San Francisco 49ers). Like many of this years first rounders, Gore has been disappointing. Expect Gore to finally give you the production this week that you were expecting when you drafted him. He will be playing on National TV for one of the only times this year and will be against a bad Bengals team (ranked 23rd against the run). Look for Gore to find the endzone and get to 100 yards for the first time in 3 games.

Stay away from Justin Fargas (RB, Oakland Raiders). Fargas is having a career year (920 Rushing Yards and 3 TDs) but is against a Colts team that is getting on a roll. The Colts are average against the run (Ranked 17th in the NFL), but they should be well ahead of Oakland most of the game, forcing the Raiders to pass. Stay away from Fargas this week if you can.

WR - Play all Patriots WRs (Randy Moss, Wes Welker, Donte Stallworth, Jabar Gaffney). The Patriots are going up against their spygate enemies in the Jets and will be putting up a lot of points. Don't get scared off by the weather report (snow is expected in Foxboro), the Pats will still be passing and they will still be getting TDs. Any of these 4 WRs are worthy of starts this week.

Stay away from Derrick Mason (WR, Baltimore Ravens). Mason, even on the very poor Baltimore offense, has totalled 872 Receiving Yards and 3 TDs, making him a very decent Flex player in most leagues. Look elsewhere this week, however, because the Ravens offense is going against a Dolphins team desperate for a win and giving up the second least receiving yards per game in the NFL. I actually think the Dolphins have a shot to get the first win of the season here, but if Baltimore can pull it out it'll be because they ride the run to victory. Stay away from Mason this week.

Survivor of the Fittest:

It was another win last week with the picks, as the Jaguars helped me push my record to 12-3 for the season. It's normally not a great idea to go with road teams but the pick here is the Seattle Seahawks on the road over the Carolina Panthers. Seattle is getting healthy and they are playing their best ball of the season. Look for the Seahawks to get their 6th win in a row this week, rather easily over the Panthers.

Have a Great Week 15!!!

Matt's Stats: Week 14 NFL Preview

Playoff time is finally here, so no time to cry about the busts or injured players (Reggie Bush anybody?) that are impacting your team this week. By this point of the year most owners should know which Players to start on an every week basis so instead this week all players listed to "Play" will be fringe players on the rise, that will be great starts to make up for your injured starter as you enter the postseason. It is time to get right into which Players should be started as you look to advance past Round 1:

"Play" or "Stay Away":

QB - Play Tarvaris Jackson (QB, Minnesota Vikings) this week. As someone who is going against Jackson this week, I hate to say it but Jackson makes a great injury replacement for the week. Jackson is against a bad 49ers defense that is ranked 20th against the pass. 3 of Jackson's 5 TDs this season have come in the last two weeks and as he continues to gain experience Jackson's stats will only go up. The Vikings are on a roll to the Playoffs, so if you are having QB trouble entering the Playoffs give Jackson a shot, you won't be disappointed.

Stay away from Jay Cutler (QB, Denver Broncos). At 13 TD and 12 INT for the season Cutler has been disappointing and don't expect much of an improvement this week against Kansas City. The Chiefs may be bad, but Herman Edwards still knows how to stop QBs as evidenced by their defense ranking 7th in the NFL against the pass. Stay away from Cutler this week if you hope to reach the second round of the Playoffs.

RB - Play Aaron Stecker (RB, New Orleans Saints). Stecker's stats have not been that impressive so far with 200 Rushing Yards and only 1 TD, but remember these are all as a backup. Lifetime as a backup with Tampa Bay and New Orleans he has totalled 317 Rushes for 1,220 Yards (a 3.8 yards per rush avg.) with 4 TDs, as well as 140 Receptions for 1,005 Receiving Yards (a 7.2 yards per reception avg.) for 2 TDs. Now that Bush is gone, Stecker will get a lot of carries and gets to play against a Falcons defense that ranks 24th against the run. If you go by his lifetime averages, at 20 rushes and 5 receptions, Stecker would total 76 Rushing Yards and 36 Receiving Yards. If you add in a possible TD to that, you get a very respectable start as a replacement RB. If you are in injury trouble at RB, as many teams this time of the year are, Play Aaron Stecker.

Stay away from Frank Gore (RB, San Francisco 49ers). After a nice Week 12, Gore was back to his disappointing self totalling only 58 Rushing yards and 0 TDs. I know he is injured and it isn't his fault that he is the only person with any talent on the offense, but none of that helps you win Fantasy games. Gore goes up a Vikings defense that is #1 in the NFL against the run. Stay away from Gore this week if you have other options.

WR - Play Justin Gage (WR, Tennessee Titans). Gage is quickly becoming the favorite target of Vince Young, having at least 64 Receiving Yards over the last 4 games with 2 total TDs over the same period. Gage is against San Diego this week, which while leading the NFL with 20 INTs, only ranks 24th in the NFL in Receiving Yards allowed. Play Gage this week and expect 75 Yards and a TD.

Stay Away Lee Evans (WR, Buffalo Bills). Evans is a very streaky player who has been struggling lately. He has been unable to get into the endzone or get more then 65 Receiving Yards over the last 4 games. The Bills are playing a bad Miami team, but they have a Secondary that is giving up the 3rd least Receiving yards per game in the NFL. Stay away from Evans this week if you hope to advance in your Playoffs.

Survival of the Fittest:

The Browns losing to Arizona brought my season record down to 11-3 for the season. The pick this week to get back on the winning side is the Jacksonville Jaguars over the Carolina Panthers. Last year the Jaguars were 8-5 and collapsed down the stretch to finish outside of the Playoffs at 8-8. After a close loss to Indianapolis last week, the Jaguars will look to rebound this week at home against a bad Panthers team and to insure that no talk of a collapse starts up again this year.

Have a Great Week 14 and Good Luck in the Playoffs!!!

Matt's Stats: Week 13 NFL Preview

Week 13 is the final week of the Regular Season for most leagues, so for those of you still lucky enough to be alive, Good Luck!! Here are the picks and players for Week 13 in the National Football League:

"Play" or "Stay Away":

QB - Play Jon Kitna (QB, Detroit Lions). Don't get fooled by last weeks game against the Giants, the Vikings pass defense is still the worst in the league (ranked last in the NFL). In Week 2, Kitna missed half of the game with a concussion and still returned to lead Detroit to a comeback win with 245 Yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. Expect Kitna to have a big game this week against Minnesota with his 3rd 300 yard game of the year and 6th game of the year with atleast 2 TD's.

Stay Away from Matt Schaub (QB, Houston Texans). Schaub has made for an excellent start in weeks that Andre Johnson is healthy, but look elsewhere this week. Schaub sustained two different injuries (ankle and hip) last week and is going up against the 7th ranked defense of the Tennessee Titans. Add all of this to the fact that Albert Haynesworth is likely returning to the Titans Dline and it equals a tough night for Schaub.

RB - Play Clinton Portis (RB, Washington Redskins). Portis is having an excellent season so far with 870 Yards and 6 TDs. Portis is against the Buffalo Bills, a team ranked 23rd against the Run giving up an average of 119.7 yards per game. There are really two ways teams deal with tragedy, they can just collapse or they can rebound into an unstoppable team (ex: Giants 35-0 win over Washington when their owner Wellington Mara died). Portis was best friends with Sean Taylor and I expect him to have a career day in his honor. If you have Portis on your team make sure to have him in your starting lineup!

Stay away from Willis McGahee (RB, Baltimore Ravens). Even with an ankle injury, McGahee is one of the most consistent RBs in the NFL (910 Rushing Yards and 6 Rushing TDs), but if you have other solid backups this could be a good time to use them. McGahee should have a rare off week as he goes up against the New England Patriots (5th Ranked against the Run in the NFL, allowing only 86.2 Rushing Yards per game). The Ravens offense is one of the worst in the league and the Patriots will be looking to rebound from last weeks game against Philly. With Baltimore falling behind by a large margin early, McGahee will not get many attempts to run. Save McGahee until next week against Indy.

WR - Play Steve Smith (WR, Carolina Panthers). It has been a disappointing year for both Steve Smiths this year, but expect the one that everyone expected Fantasy stats from to finally perform. Vinny is back at QB, so Smith will get passes thrown his way. SF allows 242.2 Receiving Yards per game (Ranked 24th in the NFL). If you have stuck with Smith this long, now is the time to finally get some points. Look for Smith to get his first TD since Week 6 as well as 80-100 Yards Receiving this week.

Stay away from Anthony Gonzalez (WR, Indianapolis Colts). After 5 consecutive bad games, Gonzalez finally broke out on Thanksgiving night with 6 catches for 105 yards. Gonzalez should produce eventually but don't expect a big game this week against Jacksonville. The Jaguars know how to shut down the Colts Offense. In his last 5 games against Jacksonville, Peyton has thrown only 4 TDs, while also throwing 3 INTs. Against this kind of defense, it is not the time to take a chance on an unproven WR.

Survival of the Fittest:

It was closer then I expected, but the Patriots win over the Eagles last week put my record to 11-2 for the season. The pick this week is the Cleveland Browns. Arizona plays well at home but Cleveland is on a roll. I expect the Browns to win by at least 10 points this week, as they continue their run to the Playoffs for the first time since 2002.

Have a Great Week 13!

Matt's Stats: Week 12 NFL Preview

Happy Thanksgiving to everyone!!!! With 3 games already in the books, here we go with a limited version of Matt's Stats for Week 12. With fantasy games already having started for the week let's skip the sleepers (although if you didn't listen two weeks ago when I said it and some how he is still available in your league, pick up Kolby Smith now!!!!) and get right into the players and picks for Week 12 in the league where they play for pay:

"Play" or "Stay Away":

QB - Play Eli Manning (QB, New York Giants). Eli is now a top 10 QB in the NFL and he is going up against a Vikings team that is ranked last in the league against the pass. Add in the fact that the Vikings have the #1 ranked team against the run, and the Giants are injured at RB with Jacobs and Ward (both probably out this week), and it should equal a 300 Yard, 2 TD Performance for Manning in Week 12.

Stay Away from Jason Campbell (QB, Washington Redskins). I've had Campbell on the "Play" list for 2 or 3 weeks this year, and he is coming off a big game against Dallas, but look elsewhere this week. Campbell should have a tough start this week against a Tampa Bay defense that is ranked 3rd in the NFL against the Pass. Campbell should get about 200-250 Yards and maybe a TD or 2, but expect a few INTs as well. Look elsewhere this week at QB.

RB - Play Cedric Benson (RB, Chicago Bears). I'm definitely not one to praise Benson, and actually view him as a bust for the most part. That being said, however, play Benson this week against Denver. Denver ranks 29th in stopping the run, and Benson should get plenty of carries in what will be a close game. Look for Benson's third consecutive game with a TD and first 100 Yard game since Week 2.

Stay away from Ricky Williams (RB, Miami Dolphins). Aside from the fact that the Dolphins are playing at Pittsburgh (3rd in the NFL against the run), do not get fooled into starting Williams just because Jesse Chatman is questionable and may not play this week. Even if Ricky Williams does play, don't expect much success. Williams will take several games to get into playing shape and will not be of Fantasy value until the 2008 Season.

WR - Play Kevin Walter and Andre Davis (WRs, Houston Texans) this week. Andre Johnson had a great first game back and should put up another 100 yard week against Cleveland this week, but don't forget about Walter and Davis. Walter has 576 Yards and 1 TD, while Davis has 471 Yards and 3 TDs on the season. The Browns defense is one of the worst in the league, giving up the third most receiving yards (281.3) per game in the league. Johnson won't do it all himself, so if you still have Walter and Davis this should be your best start for them during the rest of the season. It'll be a high scoring game on Sunday, so why not take advantage with Walter and Davis.

Stay away from Chad Johnson (WR, Cincinnati Bengals). I never thought I would say that during a Fantasy Football Season, but he is a very poor start this week. Ocho Cinco hasn't had a TD since Week 2 and has not had 100 Yards since Week 7 against the lowly Jets. The Bengals have looked more like the Bungles of the '90s this year and will be going against the strong Titans defense (giving up only 207.4 Receiving Yards per game...7th in the league). Look elsewhere if you can this week and avoid starting Johnson in Week 12.

Survival of the Fittest:

It was a lot closer then expected but the Colts win last week pushed my record to 10-2 for the season. This week the pick is the New England Patriots. I don't see anyway the Eagles (probably without McNabb) can have a chance. Pats most likely even cover the ridiculous 22 point spread this week. New England will lose eventually this year, but Week 12 is not the time. Look for the Pats to run away with another win this week.

Have a Great Week 12!!!

Matt's Stats: Week 11 NFL Preview

Most Fantasy leagues have only 3 weeks left in the Regular Season, so lets not waste any time...Here are all your players and picks for Week 11 of the National Football League!

"Sleeping" on the Job:

This week is an easy one. If you are looking for a RB give Anthony Thomas (RB, Buffalo Bills) a try. Marshawn Lynch is out with a left ankle sprain this week, and probably longer. Thomas has not done well this year (only 10 Rushes for 12 Yards) and has a poor matchup this week going against the Patriots but anytime you can get a starting RB this late in the season you should give it a try. Don't forget that when starting Thomas has had 2 1,000 yard seasons in his career. If you need a RB pick up Anthony Thomas before it is too late!

"Play" or "Stay Away":

QB - Play Peyton Manning (QB, Indianapolis Colts). Manning should be starting every game for your team but after reading that some people are benching him, I figured I would post a quick reminder. NEVER BENCH PEYTON!!!!!!!!!! There is no way he has two 6 interception games in a row. Peyton goes against a very average KC pass defense (ranked 16th). Expect a big bounce back game for Manning this week.

Stay away from Donovan McNabb (QB, Philadelphia Eagles). McNabb is playing against Miami who while winless are giving up the 5th lowest passing yards per game in the NFL. The Dolphins are 30th against the Run and as a result the Eagles will ride Westbrook to the victory. Look elsewhere this week if you have McNabb at QB.

RB - Play LenDale White (RB, Tennessee Titans). Yes he has been injured all week, but all reports say he will be playing Monday against Denver. The extra day off will help and Denver's rush defense is 31st in the NFL. Look for 100 Yards and a TD for White this week.

Stay away from Justin Fargas (RB, Oakland Raiders). Fargas is having a career year but will struggle against the Vikings (Ranked 3rd against the Run) this week. Hold off on using Fargas again until you get a better matchup.

WR - Play Ronald Curry (WR, Oakland Raiders). Curry has been slumping lately but has Culpepper back as his QB which should have improve his stats. Combine this with the fact that the Raiders will be passing a lot (the Vikings give up the most receiving yards per game in the NFL) and it equals an excellent start for Curry. If Curry is still on your team, this is your best chance to use him.

Stay away from Laveraneous Coles (WR, New York Jets). Coles is having a decent year this season with 42 Receptions for 473 Yards and 6 TDs. Coles is going against a Steelers team that gives up the Second least receiving yards per game in the NFL. Choose another WR if you can in Week 11.

Survival of the Fittest:

It went down to the wire but a win by the Bills over Miami put my record to 9-2 for the season. The pick this week is to go with the Bills again, this time over the Patriots! No, I'm not that stupid, that really isn't my pick. Although I expect it to be a lot closer then everyone thinks. The pick for Week 11 is the Indianapolis Colts. Injuries or no injuries, the Colts are too good to lose three games in a row. The Colts return home this week to play the Chiefs minus LJ, look for them to run away with an easy win.

Have a Great Week 11!

Matt's Stats: Week 10 NFL Preview

Its hard to believe but in most Fantasy leagues, there are only 4 weeks left in the regular season. Here are all your players and picks for Week 10 of the National Football League:

"Sleeping" on the Job:

1) Priest Holmes (RB, Kansas City Chiefs) - No this is not a misprint, and no you did not go back in time to 2003. If you are lucky enough to be in a league where Priest is still available, pick him up immediately! Depending on who you listen to Larry Johnson will either be out for the season or out for just a week or two, but no matter which one is right, one thing is for sure, LJ will be missing some time. It is rare this late in the year you can get a starter off the waiver wire and here is your chance.

2) Kolby Smith (RB, Kansas City Chiefs) - This is more of a true "sleeper" in the sense of the name. Smith was a 5th round draft pick this year with 0 career rush yards and 21 career receiving yards. Herm Edwards loves to run the ball and has said that Holmes will have to share carries. If you missed out on Holmes (only still available in 13% of CBS leagues) take a flier on Smith. Smith is available in 70 percent of leagues, will get his carries, and Holmes is very injury prone. This all equals a solid late season pick in Kolby Smith if you need a RB.

"Play" or "Stay Away":

QB - Play Jason Campbell (QB, Washington Redskins). Campbell plays an Eagles team this week that appears to have given up. The Eagles are coming off of an embarrassing 38-17 loss to the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, and things look like they will only get worse. Looking to benefit from this, Campbell gets to play Philly's beat up defense at home, after already beating them in Philly and totally 209 Yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, with 39 Rushing Yards. All of this adds up to make it an excellent week to give Jason Campbell a Fantasy start.

Stay away from Donovan McNabb (QB, Philadelphia Eagles). I hate to use the same game but this is a horrible matchup for McNabb. Last week against Dallas he had 1 TD and 2 INT and now plays against a Redskin team, currently ranked 10th in defense, who is in need of a big divisional win to stay close to the playoff picture. Stay away from McNabb and look elsewhere at QB this week if you can.

RB - Play Deshaun Foster (RB, Carolina Panthers) against the Falcons this week. Foster has not had that great of a season but he always does well against Atlanta. The Falcons are only ranked 23rd in the league against the run and Foster has totalled 100 yards in 4 of his last 5 games against Atlanta. This includes Foster's only 100 yard game of the 2007 season, in Week 3 when he had 122 Yards and 1 TD. Look for a big day from Foster and play him, you may not get another chance the rest of the year.

Stay away from Edgerrin James (RB, Arizona Cardinals). James is having a nice comeback year (ranking 3rd in NFC with 618 Yards), but stay away from him in Week 10 against Detroit. Edge has been consistent but does not have a 100 yard game since Week 2. Detroit's defense has been improving and is a big reason for their 6-2 record. They currently rank 12th against the run. James will be good down the stretch for your team, but stay away this week if you have other options.

WR - Play Greg Jennings (WR, Green Bay Packers). Jennings has been hot lately with 226 Receiving Yards and 3 TDs in his last 2 games, both on the road. Jennings will get to return to Lambeau in Week 10 and faces a Vikings defense, that while very good against the run, is horrible against the pass. The Vikings are giving up a league high 291.2 receiving yards per game and there is no reason to think that it won't continue. Play Jennings this week and expect 100-125 yards and 1-2 TDs.

Stay Away from Roy Williams (WR, Detroit Lions). Williams does not have any TDs or 100 yard games since his Week 3 204 Yard, 1 TD performance against Philly. The Lions are winning more then usual, but they are doing it through a very balanced attack. They face the Cardinals in Week 10 who are ranked 9th in the league in receiving yards against with 211.4. Expect the Lions to play well, but to do it with a lot of rushing. Stay away from Williams if you have other options.

Survival of the Fittest:

If the Colts didn't collapse at the end of the game to New England my winning streak would be intact, but as it is I was 1-1 last week (Win with Redskins) and an impressive 8-2 on the season.

This week the pick is the Buffalo Bills to win over the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins will win eventually but this is not the week. Losman and Evans are back as playmakers and the Bills shouldn't have trouble getting the win leading up to the big Sunday Night matchup next week with New England. Who would have thought it, but after an 0-3 start to the season the Buffalo Bills will have a winning record at 5-4 with a win this week.

Have a Great Week 10!!

Matt's Stats: Week 9 NFL Preview

It's that time again, Matt's Stats is here to give you all the players and picks you need for Week 9 of the National Football League.

"Sleep"ing on the Job:

Easy pick for this week and that is Ryan Grant (RB, Green Bay Packers). Grant had a great preseason with the Giants (he was traded at the end of the preseason for a 6th round pick) and now is getting his turn to start for the Packers. Grant took over after Wynn's injury on MNF and rushed 22 times for 104 yards. If you are lucky enough to be in a league where he is still available, pick him up as soon as possible.

"Play" or "Stay Away"

QB - Play Sage Rosenfels (QB, Houston Texans). Rosenfels has excelled in limited action this year, passing for 548 Yards, with 6 TD and 5 INT. These were all with an injured WR corps. Rosenfels is a great bye-week replacement and you can expect 250 Yards Passing and 2 TD this week against the Raiders.

Stay away from Brett Favre (QB, Green Bay Packers). Favre is against the Kansas City Chiefs this week, the only team that Favre has never beaten before (lifetime 0-3 with 5 TD and 5 INT). The Chiefs defense (Ranked 11th overall in the NFL) is much better then the defenses Favre has seen in those previous games against KC. Stay away from Favre if you have another QB to start this week.

RB - Play Marshawn Lynch (RB, Buffalo Bills). Lynch will look to add onto to his already impressive rookie season (537 Rushing Yards, 4 TD) by going against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 9. The Bengals seem to have turned back into the Bungles this year and rank 31st in Defense for the year. Expect 125-150 Yards and 1-2 TDs as Lynch has one of the best games of his career and the Bills keep on rolling to a .500 record.

Stay away from Thomas Jones (RB, New York Jets). Jones goes against the Washington Redskins this week, who are 9th in the NFL against the Run and will be looking to rebound from the embarassing loss to the New England Patriots last week. Don't expect much from Jones this week, 50 yards and 0 TDs should be expected this week for Jones.

WR - Play Santana Moss (WR, Washington Redskins). Moss has only 248 Yards and 0 TD in what is one of the worst seasons of his career. You may be asking yourself now, why start him? But he is too good to be this bad all year, he is going against his old team, a team that appears to have given up on the season and a team that is currently ranked 29th in Defense. You probably drafted Moss pretty early in your league, this week is the time to give him one last chance to help your team.

Stay away from Vincent Jackson (WR, San Diego Chargers). Victor, Vincent, no matter what name you call him, Jackson has been a bust this year. Now with Chris Chambers on the team, things will only get worse. Hold off on playing Jackson again until you see how much the Chargers will use him now with Chambers as a teammate.

Survival of the Fittest:

I'm up to 7-1 on the season and the pick this week is the Washington Redskins. The Redskins will look to rebound from their embarrassment against New England by beating the "Mangenious" and the 1-7 Jets. The Redskins defense will be too much for Kellen Clemens in his first career start and it'll be an easy win for Washington.

I have never picked a second game before but since it is the "Game of the Century", I feel I must. Everyone is picking the Patriots, of course how could you not? They clearly are one of the best teams to every play the game. Well I am going with the Indianapolis Colts to win. The Colts, not the Patriots, are defending Champions, and it is the Colts who have won 12 overall and 3 in a row against New England. It is going to be a great game, and probably be down to the wire...so the pick is for the Colts to win on an Adam Vinatieri FG in the closing seconds.

Have a Great Week 9!!