Thursday, April 30, 2009

Sports and the Calculator: How One UCLA Pitcher is Using Physics on the Mound

Loyal SportsJudge.com readers probably know that we rarely link to other articles, and almost never link to stories written by college papers. However, this one is too good to pass up.

The UCLA Daily Bruin published a piece today on Trevor Bauer, the son of an engineer who spends his free time solving math equations and actually uses physics on the mound to develop new pitches. The auspicious Bauer seems to have skipped his senior year of high school, and is already starring on the collegiate level.

This kid sounds a lot like the next Syd Finch. Only he's real, and does not wear boots on the mound.

I'm sure our fantasy baseball arbitration team will be resolving disputes about this guy's rights in a few years.

Anyway, for a really great article on a really remarkable prospect, see the full post in the UCLA Daily Bruin here.

Fenst's Farm Report: International League


Welcome back to the second edition of SportsJudge.com's Fenst's Farm Report. Baseball is nearly a month into its season and some prospects are heating up all over the minor leagues before the weather even has a chance. This edition will take a look at some of the top prospects in the International League (AAA) that are off to a hot start. Many of these players you may see on your favorite major league team in the upcoming months.

Matt LaPorta (OF-CLE)

LaPorta was Milwaukee's top pick in the 2007 First Year Player Draft. The power hitter was the 7th overall selection in the draft and was a centerpiece in the CC Sabathia deal last summer. The power hitting prospect has shined in the first month of this short season for Cleveland's AAA affiliate, Columbus. For the Clippers, LaPorta has 11 extra base hits in 68 AB's, 5 of which are home runs. The righty's .368 average is tied for 7th in the international league and his whopping 1.142 OPS is fourth. If he continues and builds on his strong performance Cleveland will be forced to call him up to the majors and find him some regular playing time. LaPorta is able to play both corner outfield positions and first base as well. With LaPorta being one injury away from a call up he could see regular time at DH as well. If he does get the call up expect solid power numbers in Cleveland's lineup, but I wouldn't expect him to be a .300 hitter. Cleveland looks as if they may have received a middle of the order guy for many years from the deal of the galaxy known only as CC Sabathia.

Austin Jackson (OF- NYY)

The young speedster Austin Jackson is off to a great start for Scranton Wilkes-Barre hitting .357 with 10 RBI so far. Where Jackson's true value comes in is his speed and he has not disappointed so far this season. Jackson has 5 steals so far this young season and added two triples as well. With the health/age concerns in the Yankees outfield, as with many prospects, Jackson is a play away from the major leagues. Jackson is striking out at a regular basis, but that is expected from a player that raw and that young. Jackson has the potential to be a 30+ base stealer once he arrives in the majors. He will need to work on his strikeout count for him to sit atop a lineup like the Yankees.

Michael Bowden (RHP- BOS)

Michael Bowden seems to be the next in line of young Red Sox pitchers ready to make an import for the big league club. Bowden is leading the International League in ERA for the Paw Sox with a 0.64 ERA in 3 starts. He is striking out more than a batter per inning and has shown good control with just 5 walks in his first three outings. Drafted in the first round out of high school back in 2005, Bowden is cruising through the competition and looks ready for the next level. The biggest problem for him is the logjam of pitchers ahead of him. Even with injuries already in the rotation he is still stuck with the Paw Sox waiting for his shot. Clay Buchholz is also pitching well and would probably be considered before Bowden as well. If your league has a minor league system, don't let this kid slip under the radar and someoen else get rewarded in the future. On a side note, if Bowden was on the Pittsburgh Pirates he probably would have already been called up, had a dominant rookie season, and then fizzled out already by this point in his career. (Yes, I know the Pirates staff has been amazing this year, but look at the past with these kids.)

Phil Hughes (RHP- NYY)

The injured Wang has vaulted Phil Hughes up into the Yankees rotation. He shined in his first opportunity this year with the parent club, winning his first game for the Yanks since 2007 (he had no wins in his brief stint last season). Hughes didn't allow a run and struck out six through six innings. If Hughes continues to pitch well he might be able to solidify himself as a full-time starter for the big league Yankees. It is always nice to see a highly touted prospect seemingly right the ship after such an awful, injury plagued season (even if he is a Yankee and for the first time in three years not on my fantasy squad...). During his time in the minors he had a 1.86 ERA and 1.03 WHIP ((walks + hits) / innings pitched).

Tommy Hanson (RHP- ATL)

Baseball America top 5 prospect Tommy Hanson has been spectacular thus far for the Gwinnett Braves. His K/9 has been incredible as he has 29 strikeouts through just 20.2 innings pitched.
I wrote two weeks ago to keep an eye on Hanson in my first installment of the Farm Report and nothing has changed. If you have a deep roster or a minor league system he is a must on your fantasy team. When Hanson comes up to the majors he will make an immediate impact for the Braves and your roster. Strikeouts will come in bunches and I don't think he will hurt your ERA, in fact he might improve it. Like I have said before, a mid 3 ERA is a good estimate for where he will be after he arrives with Atlanta.

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Legal Community Sings Praises of SportsJudge.com's Fantasy Baseball Arbitration

Last week, both David Frank of the Massachusetts Lawyers Weekly and Robert J. Ambrogi of Legal Blog Watch sung the praises of SportsJudge's April 10, 2009 fantasy baseball arbitration ruling, which held the Hampshire League Commissioner could not unilaterally extend the bidding process for signing free agents.

For those interested in learning why the SportsJudge Court of Fantasy Baseball ruled against extending the free agent bidding period, visit our docket of published opinions and search for the case Philadelphia Freedoms v. Cedarburg Tigers & the Hampshire Baseball League, Index No. 3004.

Also, for those that are interested in seeing what SportsJudge justices do during the day (when they are not engaged in fantasy baseball arbitration), see here and here.

NHL Playoffs: Eastern Conference 1st Round Wrapup


*Eastern/Western Conference 2nd Round Wrapups will appear Friday, May 15.
*Eastern/Western Conference Finals Schedule and Preview will appear Saturday, May 16


Western Conference - 1st Round Preview
Western Conference - 1st Round Wrapup
Western Conference - 2nd Round Preview

Eastern Conference - 1st Round Preview
Eastern Conference - 1st Round Wrapup
Eastern Conference - 2nd Round Preview


#1 BOSTON BRUINS vs. #8 MONTREAL CANADIENS

SportsJudge Prediction: Boston in 4
Actual Result: Boston in 4

This was the year the NHL was supposed to make sure the Canadiens won the Stanley Cup in their highly-celebrated Centennial (that's 100 if you're counting at home) season. Instead, the Bruins easily disposed of Montreal in four games, leaving the Montreal faithful calling for a team overhaul. Canadiens fans, I am here to tell you that you will get your wish. Players on the first train out of Montreal on July 1st are as follows: Alex Tanguay, Saku Koivu, Alex Kovalev, Robert Lang, Mathieu Schneider, Francis Bouillon, Mathieu Dandenault, Mike Komisarek, and Patrise Briesbois, while Chris Higgins, Tomas Plekanec, Kyle Chipchura, Guillaume Latendresse, and Matt D'Agostini test the waters of restricted free agency. Another hope is Montreal will bring in Vincent Lecavalier from Tampa and he'll make everything better. How can you bring in a star player when you have nothing to trade?

Franchise goaltender Carey Price has been less than stellar, but let's remember he's 21 years old. If Montreal can construct a semi-reasonable team by opening night next season, I think Price would be an excellent fantasy goaltender for your squad. He's got the tools and the ability, but hasn't found the confidence to play his best night in and night out. Unfortunately, I can't help but feel that history may be repeating itself. Merely 13 years ago, Patrick Roy was essentially boo'd out of Montreal by impatient fans. In his last game, Roy made a routine save and was mockingly cheered by fans. In response, Roy responded by throwing his hands in the air as if to cheer along with them. In game 4 last week, facing elimination, Carey Price made a routine save in the second period and was met with the same mocking cheer that Roy endured over a decade ago. The photo to the right shows Price's reaction....hmmm.

#2 WASHINGTON CAPITALS vs. #7 NEW YORK RANGERS

SportsJudge Prediction: New York in 6
Actual Result: Washington in 7

The New York Rangers...where to begin. Firing the coach didn't work. Trading for Derek Morris and Nik Antropov didn't work. Even bringing back Sean Avery backfired. It's almost amusing how this story seems to repeat itself every year. Disciplinarian head coach John Tortorella benched Sean Avery for losing his cool on the ice, then set a great example for the team by firing a water bottle into the stands at a fan, resulting in a suspension. There was only so much Henrik Lundqvist could do for this team when they failed to generate any real offense for 7 games. In last night's deciding matchup, the Rangers dominated for close to 50 minutes straight, yet in the end only accumulated 15 shots on goal. "Star" centermen Scott Gomez and Chris Drury are being paid nearly $14.5 million a year combined, yet neither contributed in the least this season. With both players locked up for at least the next three seasons, early summer vacations could become the norm in New York.

#3 NEW JERSEY DEVILS vs. #6 CAROLINA HURRICANES

SportsJudge Prediction: New Jersey in 5
Actual Result: New Jersey in 7 Carolina in 7

Well this was a shocking outcome. Last night I was writing this article as the Devils iced away the final few minutes of Game 7 and were likely beginning to plan their attack on Alex Ovechkin and the Capitals. Less than 2 minutes later, they were stunned.



I can't find a way to agree with fans blaming this one on Martin Brodeur. The Program has an excellent look at the Devils failure and seems to agree. For those fans who only saw the highlights, they missed the barrage of huge saves Brodeur made throughout this game and the entire series. Unfortunately, the Devils weren't able to match up with Carolina's speed. After a shocking win with 0.2 seconds to go in Game 4, the Hurricanes knew they could score late and steal games from the Devils. That's exactly what they did. New Jersey isn't in bad shape moving forward with most of the core returning, but there just isn't much to get excited about with this team. Martin Brodeur will continue to be a threat to win a series by himself, but with their defensive strategy not having as much success in the new era of the NHL, I think there is some work to be done to bring a Cup back to New Jersey.

#4 PITTSBURGH PENGUINS vs. #5 PHILADELPHIA FLYERS

SportsJudge Prediction: Pittsburgh in 5
Actual Result: Pittsburgh in 6

Pittsburgh's performance in Game 6 of this series was one of the more impressive playoff games I can remember in recent past - and could be devastating mentally for Philly in future seasons. The Flyers had outplayed the Penguins for most of the series and found themselves with a 3-0 lead in the sixth game at home. In the second period, tiny Max Talbot of the Penguins convinced tough guy Daniel Carcillo (578 penalty minutes the past two seasons) to fight and took a beating to inspire the team. A few months ago, Joe Romano and I debated the role of fighting in the NHL, and rarely do I see fights change a game (let alone a series) as much as this one did. The Flyers lost all focus and momentum and 30 minutes later were staring the offseason right in the face. Martin Biron played better than expected, but didn't come up big when he was needed the most. Expect him to be gone this summer. Philadelphia has most of the team returning next season, which is great news for Flyers fans. Claude Giroux has officially burst onto the scene over the last two months and will be a force to watch next season. If you're looking for the next 'Jeff Carter' in your fantasy draft, this might be the guy. Joe Romano has been preaching this for almost a year in his column "The Puck Stops Here" and I think he's right on the money. On the other hand, this year was more of the same story for the Flyers. Tough guys Scott Hartnell and Carcillo took unnecessary penalties at inopportune times over and over again, and it eventually came back to haunt them. Maybe the Flyers will always be the Flyers, but as a hockey fan I'd love to see what they could accomplish if they weeded out the rotten apples.

Chin Music: Bring Your Green Hat

A handful of teams are doing all kinds of streaking this April. With the help Jason Bay’s three-run ninth inning homerun on Monday night, the Boston Red Sox won their eleventh straight game (after a 2-6 start, mind you). The Sox swept doubleheaders, won 16-11 pitchers’ duels and won games on the backs of stolen bases and a corps of just-called-up rookie relievers.

Conversely, by the end of the first inning on Monday night, the Marlins were well on their way to their eighth consecutive loss at the hands of John Maine and his 7.47 ERA.

We’ve seen a string of winning and losing streaks this April. The Marlins have been on both sides of the spectrum; first by winning eight in a row and now by losing eight in a row. Even the Dodgers --in typical west coast fashion—have quietly snuck in an eight game winning streak. It’s always nice to get off to a hot start, but what does it mean for the long run? You can probably guess the answer: nothing. History tells us that an April win streak really doesn’t predict anything come September and October.

Since 1900, the longest winning streak to start a season is thirteen, done twice: by the Joe Torre-managed Atlanta Braves in 1982 and by the 1987 Milwaukee Brewers (back when they played in the American League). The Braves ended up in the NLCS back in 1982, but were quickly swept by St. Louis. The Brewers? They finished third in the AL East with a 91-71 record.

Is it nice to get off to a hot start? Surely. But teams are much better off streaking late than streaking earlier. Take, for instance, the 2002 Oakland A’s who won twenty straight in late August and landed feet first in the playoffs or the 2004 Red Sox, who went 24-4 from early August to early September.

Now let’s revisit the Marlins’ latest streak, the losing streak over the last week or so. Their loss on Monday night puts their losing streak at the longest on this young season, surpassing Washington’s 0-7 start. While Washington’s 0-7 start is, well, bad, the 1988 Baltimore Orioles got off to the worst start in Major League history: 0-21 (they didn’t even take Cal Ripken out of the lineup even though he was only hitting .211 through those 21 games).

While hot April starts and April winning streaks don’t necessarily mean success over the course of the season, terrible starts generally do correlate with bad seasons. After all, it’s a lot easier to lose than it is to win. The 1988 Orioles finished 54-107. The 2003 Detroit Tigers started 0-9 and 2-19 before famously avoiding a 120-loss season by winning five of their last six games to finish 43-119. The 2009 Nationals sit at 4-14 and show no semblance of breaking the trend set by the Baltimores and Detroits of the past. What about the Marlins, Red Sox, and Dodgers? Only time will tell, but all three could very well make the playoffs. It may be that none of the three make the postseason; by August it might be clear that while it seemed like a great idea to go streaking back in April, it may just leave them (and everyone they know) embarrassed and with nothing left to do but to wonder if KFC is still open.

The Mulligan: Quail Hollow Championship


This week, the Tour heads to Charlotte for the Quail Hollow Championship. Measuring 7442 yards, Quail Hollow is a longer course so the heavy hitters should play well this week. So, as you can imagine I am going to put some guys who hit the long ball in my fantasy golf picks list this week.

Tiger is back in the field this week, and he is a previous winner of this tournament. I am not saying anything surprising or original when I say that Tiger Woods is the best player in golf. He has won here before, but he has won everywhere else too. The question is whether to start Tiger this week or save him for a later tournament. There is really no good way of determining this, except that I recommend starting him in as many majors as possible since he tends to play his best golf under pressure. If you feel good about starting Tiger this week, I say go for it. If not, there will be plenty more opportunities down the road. Of course, if you play in a league that does not limit how many times you can start a particular player, Tiger should be in your lineup.

Phil Mickelson has finished in the top 10 in three of five starts at Quail Hollow. After an inconsistent start to the season, I am sold that Phil is worthy of a start in most tournaments from here on out. The most convincing evidence of this came on the front nine of Augusta where he tied Johnny Miller's front nine record of 30. I think Phil is a great play this week, and he will be in my starting lineup.

Brian Gay is a good momentum play this week coming off his 10 shot slaughtering of the rest of the field. While a repeat of his performance two weeks ago is unlikely, a good showing wont surprise anyone. Consider him the new Rory McIlroy and hop on his bandwagon before the wheels fall off.

Ian Poulter is my final pick this week. His putter is on fire (averaging approximately 28 putts per round) and he has played well this year as a result. Although his showing at Quail Hollow has been lackluster in the past (2 missed cuts and 25th), he did finish in the top 25 here last year. I think this is the perfect time to start him.

Good luck this week and lets keep moving to the top of the fantasy golf rankings!

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

NHL Playoffs: Western Conference 1st Round Wrapup


*Eastern/Western Conference 2nd Round Wrapups will appear Friday, May 15.
*Eastern/Western Conference Finals Schedule and Preview will appear Saturday, May 16


Western Conference - 1st Round Preview
Western Conference - 1st Round Wrapup
Western Conference - 2nd Round Preview

Eastern Conference - 1st Round Preview
Eastern Conference - 1st Round Wrapup
Eastern Conference - 2nd Round Preview


With a pair of Game 7's on tap for this evening in the Eastern Conference, let's take a quick look back at the four who are no longer with us in the Western Conference. Tomorrow afternoon we'll review the Eastern Conference losing squads, and Thursday SportsJudge will release 2nd round previews and schedules for both conferences.

#1 SAN JOSE SHARKS vs. #8 ANAHEIM DUCKS

SportsJudge Prediction: Anaheim in 7
Actual Result: Anaheim in 6

A massive/shocking/stunning upset. San Jose, a team which has two first-round wins as a #8 seed on its resume (1994, 2000), found themselves on the wrong end of the Battle of California this year. It'll be interesting to see what happens to the Sharks this summer after squeaking out just 2 playoffs wins after another dominating regular season. The stretch of disappointing playoff appearances is beginning to wear on the once-dedicated fan base and big changes could be on the way.

It's not out of the question that GM Doug Wilson could be seeking a new job this summer, but I think he has enough excuses to buy himself another season in the front office: First, a rookie head coach in Todd McClellan, who was outmaneuvered over and over again by seasoned Ducks head coach Randy Carlisle. When times got tough (like losing the first two games at home), the Sharks needed team leaders or a coaching staff to calm the nerves and right the ship...that never happened. McClellan panicked so badly that he was already mixing and matching lines for Game 2. Second, I was convinced from Game 1 that team captain Patrick Marleau was playing with a significant injury. Marleau missed a handful of games over the last couple weeks of the regular season and he was far from normal throughout this series. Don't be surprised when Marleau reveals a serious knee or lower-body injury in the coming weeks. Third, Evgeni Nabakov was severly outplayed. It's nearly impossible to win a Stanley Cup without your goaltender stealing a few games along the way, and Nabakov never came through. On the bright side (if there is one), Dan Boyle was outstanding. He offensively dominated games from the defensive position in a way I haven't seen since the days of Paul Coffey. Boyle took the team on his shoulders whenever possible and in post-game interviews wasn't afraid to honestly speak his mind. I'm convinced he'll be wearing the 'C' on his jersey next season.

#2 DETROIT RED WINGS vs. #7 COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS

SportsJudge Prediction: Columbus in 7
Actual Result: Detroit in 4

0:00 <---- That's exactly how long Columbus had a lead in this series. Columbus and rookie goaltender Steve Mason, one of the feel good stories in the NHL this season, essentially had a happy-to-be-here attitude one might see from a #16 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Columbus made a number of moves at this year's trade deadline to develop a solid second line while Detroit was merely tweaking their four solid lines. That depth was too much for the defensively-minded Blue Jackets to handle. While this season's playoff appearance was obviously disappointing, I like the core in place in Columbus going forward. With Jason Williams (assuming he resigns) and Antoine Vermette joining Nash, Huselius and Umberger for a full season, the Blue Jackets should be able to make a second playoff appearance next year. When it comes to fantasy hockey, be careful with the overhyping of Steve Mason. He's an outstanding goaltender, but not enough credit is given to the system he's a part of in Columbus. As teams begin to get familiar with him, let another owner draft him early and suffer through his sophomore struggles. On the other hand, don't forget about Derrick Brassard. The rookie had hoped to make a playoff return, but instead will have to wait until October to get back into uniform. He had accumulated 25 points in 31 games prior to dislocating his shoulder in a fight on December 18. I think he can push 80+ points next season and will be a nice sleeper in next fall's draft.

#3 VANCOUVER CANUCKS vs. #6 ST. LOUIS BLUES

SportsJudge Prediction: Vancouver in 6
Actual Result: Vancouver in 4

St. Louis, another young team, with a great core, possibly overwhelmed by the thought of making the playoffs out of the West. Oh, and there's that guy in Vancouver...Roberto Luongo. For as much as I like the future for Columbus, I am overwhelmed with excitement for this Blues' squad. Prior to this season, I felt St. Louis and Edmonton were primed to have surprisingly good seasons. I was wrong on Edmonton, but I underestimated St. Louis. This team is absolutely loaded with young talent. The Blues were well known for their amazing stretch of 24 straight playoff appearances from 1980-2004 and GM John Davidson has this team set up nicely to begin another streak.

Heading into the offseason, St. Louis needs to resign Keith Tkachuk. Even though the veteran didn't have much of an offensive impact on the season, his leadership and experience are invaluable to this young group. When GM Davidson chose not to ship out Tkachuk at this year's trade deadline, he signaled to the players that he felt the pieces were in place to make a run at the playoffs. The players believed, and were the second-hottest team in the Western Conference after the deadline. Don't forget this team was also without the services of former #1 pick Erik Johnson, and sniper Paul Kariya. I'm not convinced Chris Mason is solid enough to carry the team through a full season so expect the Blues to bring in another goaltender such as Scott Clemmensen from New Jersey over the summer.

#4 CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS vs. #5 CALGARY FLAMES

SportsJudge Prediction: Chicago in 6
Actual Result: Chicago in 6

Both of these teams limped into the playoffs. Calgary limped out. The Flames coughed up a 14-point division lead to Vancouver and wound up with a 5-seed as well as a tough first-round matchup. Unfortunately, the future is not so bright for the Flames. Calgary essentially went all-in this year on a Cup run and fell flat on their faces as injuries and salary cap issues derailed their season.

Former LA King Michael Cammalleri was a pleasant surprise with 39 goals, but he will be one of the most sought after wingers in free agency this summer. Todd Bertuzzi will take his poor attitude and untimely penalties and also head into free agency. Calgary gave up a slew of young talent for Olli Jokinen at the trade deadline and he will be hitting the market after next season along with Wayne Primeau, Rene Bourque, Craig Conroy, and Eric Nystrom. While most of these players are not irreplaceable, losing your third and fourth lines can be tough to recover from when cash is limited. One player that will be around for a while is goalie Mikka Kiprusoff, who seems to be fading into mediocrity. Kipper was always a goalie who would start slow and heat up just in time for a late season surge...yet in recent seasons he's remained lukewarm and terribly inconsistent all the way through. With him locked up to big money through the 2013-14 season, Calgary best days may very well be behind them.

First to Third: What's a Pirate's Favorite Letter?

R. (Get it?)

Well, we know it's not K since through April 26th, Pittsburgh sat in the basement of the National League with only 92 strikeouts for their pitching staff. The only other NL team under 100? That AAA team in disguise, the Nats. The Pittsburgh Pirates favorite letter could also be E and not for error, but for earned. The Pirates have allowed a league-best 50 earned runs this years and are the only pitching staff with an ERA under 3.00. This translates into every manager's favorite letter: W.

At 11-7, the Pirates are playing way better than anyone ever thought they would and it's thanks to their pitching staff. Zach Duke is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA and Paul Maholm has a 2.03 ERA. How legit are the Pirates? Last week they swept the Marlins, sending the fish back down to earth after their torrid start to 2009. No one expects the Pirates to win the World Series this year or even make the playoffs, but it looks like Pittsburgh has finally righted the ship (I know, I'm terrible) and the Pirates may be on track for a .500 season.

The Buzz Around The Bullpen: Who is That Masked Man in Washington?


Welcome back to another edition of the “Buzz Around the Bullpen”. In a week that concluded with the culmination of several NHL First Round playoff match-ups and the 2009 NFL Draft, it was a little tough keeping an eye on my fantasy team. For the first time this season, I neglected my team for the better part of the week. Even though I said last week that now is not the time to be pulling the trigger on a blockbuster, you should definitely be scouring your waiver wire every day or so.
For example, in case you missed it, Blue Jays closer B.J. Ryan went down and reliever Scott Downs has stepped into the closer role. Just as I thought I could capitalize on this opportunity, I realized that fellow SportsJudge columnist Mike Colligan had already swept in for the kill at least a week prior. Here's some advice to combat something similar happening to you. If your league has limits on your free agent moves, you should utilize your "scout" or "player watch" option in order to select guys to keep an eye on. I had like Downs earlier in the year but he simply fell off of my radar. Knowing that B.J. Ryan was struggling, I should have had Downs on my list and this would have given me a better opportunity to recognize his increase in innings/save opportunities right before Ryan went down.

For now, lets talk about some hits and misses for this upcoming week.

Big Hits

Jesus Flores (C, WAS): With NL catchers Brian McCann and Ryan Doumit on the disabled list and Geovany Soto continuing to struggle at the plate, Nats catcher Jesus Flores is emerging as an above average fantasy option. The good news is that Flores is starting to heat up and if you grab him now, you might be able to reap the benefits of his recent hitting streak. The bad news is that similar to other young hitters, Flores does have the tendency to strikeout a lot because his lack of discipline at the plate. However, at a weak position with three of its top stars already injured or struggling, Flores is one of the few power options behind the dish. If he can continue to get full-time at-bats, 16-20 HRs are not out of the question this season.

Josh Anderson (OF, DET): If you’re looking for some cheap speed, look no further than Detroit outfielder Josh Anderson. Through Sunday, Anderson improved his batting average to .363 over 33 at-bats and most impressively, has already swiped 6 bases. Throughout his minor league career, he has never stolen fewer than 26 bases in a season (only had 297 at-bats that year) and in 2004, he managed to steal 78 bases at the Single-A level. Anderson was acquired before the start of the season from the Atlanta Braves and it looks as though he has found a home in Detroit. Because of his ability to hit for a decent batting average (career .315 hitter), Anderson distinguishes himself from other burners like Michael Bourn. He is available in over 90% of leagues somehow so you’ll have some time to move on him. However, if you need some speed, why wait any longer?

Scott Richmond (SP, TOR): It is always a little easier to take a chance on a pitcher that has had the run support that the Blue Jays’ offense has been providing for their starting pitchers this season. However, in his two victories, Richmond has only needed 3 runs total to put his team in a position to win. As a result of his stellar pitching performances, Richmond now possesses a 2-0 record with a 3.31 ERA and 15 K’s in 16 and 1/3 innings. With fellow starter Ricky Romero on the disabled list, look for Richmond to step up and earn a couple more victories for one of baseball’s best teams in the young 2009 season. He’s only owned in a third of the leagues so you may have the luxury to watch one or two more of his starts before you decide to make a move on him.

Big Misses

Francisco Liriano (SP, MIN): If there is anyone more surprised about Liriano’s rough start than me, I’d love to meet them. I drafted Liriano on both of my teams and was certain that he would come out of the gate mowing down AL hitters at a league leading pace. Instead, Liriano has spent the majority of his April accumulating an 0-4 record with a 7.06 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Although Liriano has been awful, now is not the time to panic and get rid of him. If you need some convincing, take a look at CC Sabathia’s numbers in the early-going of 2008.

From the limited time that I’ve seen Liriano pitch this season, it looks as though he isn’t throwing that devastating slider just yet. Hopefully it is a mechanical thing and he can fix it. However, often times when pitchers are coming off of a surgery, they become tender and sore. As a result, they “back off” of their pitches. When you “back off” of a breaking ball, your release point changes and instead of getting on top of the pitch, you get “around” the pitch. When you get “around” the pitch, your hand speed decreases and the rotation of the ball as it comes out of your hand is much looser and slower. This results in the pitch being much more flat and sloppy. And if you’re a MLB hitter, hitting a flat and sloppy breaking ball is much easier to hit than a sharp and “late” breaking ball.

As a Liriano owner myself, I’m not willing to even entertain an offer just yet. Although you may have to tough it out for a little longer, if Liriano is in fact healthy, he’ll tidy up his mechanics and he'll get himself back on track. So for right now, hang on to him and hope that he can put together 2-3 consistent starts in a row.

Mike Aviles (SS, KC): After an impressive finish to the 2008 season, I was a huge believer of Mike Aviles. Unfortunately, he’s begun the 2009 season about as cold as David Ortiz. Although, he’s recently showed signs of breaking out of his slump, now might be the time to lower your expectations for Mike Aviles. He finished 2008 hitting .325 but I look for him to come back down to earth and hit around his career average of .305. Please don’t take this as a shot at him because hitting .305 in the big leagues is pretty respectable. However, I don’t see another .320+ finish. Because of his ability to steal bases and hit with slightly above average power, Aviles is still a viable fantasy option. So although you may be down on him right now, take a look at some of the other options available and you’ll be pretty happy with Aviles.

As with any SportsJudge articles, please feel free to post any questions or comments. Until next time, keep your ears open for the Buzz Around the Bullpen.

Monday, April 27, 2009

SportsJudge.com PTI: Can Kobe Match Wilt?

[Editors Note: Welcome back to SportsJudge.com's take on Pardon The Interruption. On a bi-weekly basis, SportsJudge.com authors, Chris Stanley and Adam Primm, will take on a PTI-style debate about a topic of their choosing. Chris and Adam are friends, roommates, and Ohio State law students. This week, the 100-point game.]

Chris Stanley:
Adam and I have been discussing whether Wilt Chamberlain’s 100 point performance in an NBA game is within reach. Adam thinks the record is absolutely, 100% untouchable. After Kobe Bryant’s 81 point game last season, I think it just might be breakable.

100 points is a ridiculous number, but don’t let it blind you. Lets look at a possible scenario that just might result in a new NBA single game scoring record. Kobe’s 81 point performance was not perfect. In fact, he shot 28-46 from the field, and 18-20 from the free throw line. Kobe made 7 out of 13 three’s and took just over half of his team’s shots during the game (46-88).

There are several things that could have gone differently during this game that would have resulted in a 100 point performance. First, if Kobe had made every shot he took, he would have scored 125 points (18 additional points from three’s, 24 additional points from two-point field goals and 2 additional points from free throws). Obviously, Kobe will never put on a performance this perfect in his career. But just look at the numbers for a second. Based on the shots Kobe took during his 81 point game, he could have scored a possible 125 points. He would need to get 80% of those points in order to score 100. That would be quite a feat, but is it impossible? Maybe. Maybe not.

Also consider the fact that Kobe only took 52% of the Lakers' shots. What if the Lakers' game plan involved Kobe putting the ball up 75% of the time? That would mean 20 more shots, which results in 66 total shots for Kobe. Even if all of those extra shots were two point field goals, Kobe would have a total of 165 possible points. If he were to score just 60% of those points, he would have a 100 point game.

Kobe’s 81 point performance was nowhere near perfect. Also, the Lakers’ game plan likely did not involve Kobe shooting the ball any more than it usually does. I think Kobe could find a way to score 20 more points than he did during his 81 point game at some point in his career, allowing him to break Wilt’s 100 point record.

Adam Primm:
There is no way Wilt Chamberlain’s record of 100 points in a game will ever be broken. This is one of those records that will never be broken, like Joe Dimaggio's 56 game hitting streak. I feel this way for a variety of reasons. First of all, Wilt was absolutely dominant; no one could stop him. As awesome as the 100 point game was, let’s not forget that Chamberlain averaged 50.4 points per game in the 1961-1962 season (he scored 100 on March2, 1962). Wilt scoring 100 in a game that season is like Kobe scoring 60 in a game this season; both players would be doubling their averages. Also consider that Wilt set records for field goals made (36), attempted (63), free throws made (28), most points in a quarter (31), and most points in a half (59). This was easily the most dominant offensive performance ever in the history of the NBA and the circumstances had to fall just right for this type of game to happen.

One of those circumstances was the more up-tempo style of game in the early 1960s. The 1961-1962 season which saw Wilt average 50.4 points and 26 rebounds per game and Oscar Robertson average 30.8 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 11.4 assists per game was much different from the game today. In 1961-1962, teams averaged 125.5 possessions per game and 108 shots per game. In contrast, the 2008-2009 season has teams averaging 91.2 possessions per game and 80.2 shots per game. The significantly slower pace greatly hinders anyone from making a run at Wilt’s record of 100 points in a game. When Kobe scored 81 against the Raptors in January of 2006, the Lakers took 88 shots and the Raptors took only 76. Compare that to the Warriors and Knicks in Wilt’s 100 point game when the Warriors took 115 and the Knicks took 118. The Warriors also attempted 52 free throws and the Knicks took 41. By comparison, the Lakers attempted 33 and the Raptors 27. Wilt took 32 by himself in 1962.

Part of the reason for the high number of free throws was the mess that the Warriors and Knicks made of the fourth quarter. Wilt had 69 points at the start of the quarter and the Warriors approach was to feed Wilt every time down court. As Wilt was approaching 100 points, the Knicks began fouling the other 4 Warriors simply to prevent Wilt from scoring more. The Warriors responded by fouling the Knicks right away so they could get the ball back sooner. The final score of the game was 169-147, partially due to the quick pace of the game back then, but also due to the abnormal fourth quarter in which the score was 44-41, Warriors (the score in the second half was 90-79 Warriors). In today’s defensive game, final scores don’t total 169 points let alone the second half.

While I agree with Chris that Kobe has the best chance of coming close to scoring 100 points, there are many differences between his game and Wilt’s. Wilt played in the post and Kobe is a wing. That alone is a strike against Kobe. While Kobe can hit a three, Wilt’s shots were all within 10 feet of the hoop. Also, at 7’1” and 275-300 pounds, Wilt was the most physically imposing player in the NBA. To make matter worse for the Knicks, their starting center, Phil Jordan, was hurt and didn’t play. Second-year man Darrall Imhoff had the task of guarding Wilt who had 3 inches and 55-80 pounds on him. The Knicks' next biggest player was Cleveland Buckner at 6’9” and 210 pounds. The other two players who spent a good portion of the night trying to stop Chamberlain were both 6’6” and weighed 205 and 225 pounds, respectively. They had no chance at stopping Wilt as they were totally overmatched physically. Imhoff later stated that Wilt “stuffed us through the hoop with the ball. It didn’t even help we quintuple-teamed him.” The Knicks tried everything short of putting a 6th man on the court or unleashing Jeff Van Gundy to wrap himself around Wilt’s ankle while he posted up. Kobe is good, but he isn’t that good. If Kobe is triple-teamed, let alone quintuple-teamed, he isn’t shooting over 57% from the field like Wilt did. This is true for a few reasons.

First, the NBA today is so much more flexible in terms of defense. If Kobe starts making a serious run at 100 points, the opposition will shift to a zone defense that neutralizes the amount and kinds of touches Kobe is going to get. Second, since no team wants to give up 100 points, the opposition will do exactly what the Knicks did and start fouling other players simply so Kobe can’t score more points. While I think this is a bush league move, it will probably happen, and I don’t see Phil Jackson telling his team to foul back so Kobe can get more shots. That type of back and forth hack-fest could lead to a fight in today’s game and I think the coaches would rather avoid that. Third, Kobe’s quickness and talent simply can’t equal Wilt’s imposing physical stature. A bad night for Wilt that year would have been 30 points and 15 boards. That is absurd. It was arguably the most dominant game of the most dominant season ever. To say that Kobe could feasibly match or beat that record greatly underestimates what Wilt did that night. Teams are more suited to adjust their defenses to stop a wing player that gets hot than they are to stop a dominant big man. If a wing gets hot, you can play him physical, double-team him, switch to zone, or foul the other players like the Knicks tried in 1962. When Wilt got hot, the Knicks were quintuple-teaming him, fouling him (he had the best free throw shooting day of his career), and fouling his teammates. None of the tactics worked, Wilt was too big and strong around the hoop for the Knicks to be able to stop him. At his size, he was able to fight through these tactics. If Kobe gets quadruple or quintuple-teamed, he is not big enough to fight through and is more likely to pass out of it anyway.

Finally, the numbers don’t support the argument that Kobe can score 100 points. With teams averaging 35 fewer possessions in today’s game, there aren’t nearly as many offensive opportunities for Kobe as there was for Wilt. And even with the Warriors feeding Wilt so he could score 100 points, he still only took 54.8% (63-115) of the Warriors shots that night. By comparison, Kobe took 52.3% of the Lakers' shots when he scored 81. It isn’t an issue of getting Kobe more shots, it is an issue of speeding up the pace of the game so there are more shots in general. Finally, Kobe’s 81 point performance is the closest anyone has come to Wilt’s 100. If you look at this closer, you will see that the closest is still only 81% of the total. Despite scoring over 80, Kobe still needed another full quarter at his current pace to match Wilt.

The last reason that Wilt’s record will not be broken is because the Knicks didn’t see anything out of the ordinary with Wilt having 41 points at halftime. Wilt stated that he routinely had halves of 30 or 35 points and had scored over 60 points in a game on 32 previous occasions, so the Knicks did not see a need to adjust to him at halftime. However, if anyone scored 41 points in a half in today’s game, you can guarantee the entire conversation at halftime is how to stop that one player. When Wilt scored 100, it was the perfect storm of a physically dominant player against a team shorthanded by injury. Aiding the abnormalities was the up tempo pace of the game, the ridiculousness of the 4th quarter, and the “sneaky” aspect of Chamberlain “quietly” scoring 41 points in the first half. This presents too many factors that would have to fall perfectly for Kobe or anyone else to make a run at the record. Even if all of these things happened, Kobe would still have to shoot close to 60% and fight through the different defenses that the opposition would throw at him to make a run at the record. It is too much to overcome.

Sunday, April 26, 2009

Fantasy NASCAR: Aaron's 499 (Follow Up)

Please watch and be amazed at this finish in today's race. If you missed the race you missed two huge crashes not including this one at the end. Thank God for NASCAR safety. Glad to see Carl Edwards has a sense of humor about it all to run across the line much like Ricky Bobby.


Saturday, April 25, 2009

Fantasy NASCAR: Aaron's 499

We are back to the super speedways and this weekend the circuit is in Alabama as they race at Talladega. They say that the infield at the 2.5-mile track is the largest party of the south for patrons and to be honest the race itself can be a party at times with groups of cars bunched up at all times throughout the race.

When people think about Talladega they think of one thing, the Big One. The Big One is a common happening at super speedways, especially at 'Dega. As with any restrictor plate race the cars are usually bunched together throughout the entire race making for excitement around every turn and lead changes come in dozens. But with all these cars together there is that chance for a large wreck. The Big One is not partial to anyone as leaders and lapped cars alike are subject to its wrath.



With that being said, it is hard to predict winners at this track but looking at past results I've come up with my top 5 for this weekend.

1- Jeff Gordon: Why not? Have we not learned anything this year from my column? Jeff Gordon has the most career victories at this track than any other driver, ever! Gordon has raced here half as many times as most other legends and still has more victories. Some teams are set up for these type of races and Jeff Gordon is one of those. Starting near the front will keep him out of trouble.

2- Kyle Busch: Busch won this race last spring and has the 2nd most points at this track over the past year. Busch has been involved in the Big One a few times because of his aggressive style of driving. Busch is itching to get back to victory lane although he has already won this year. Aside from Jeff Gordon, Busch is my lock for a top-5 this weekend.

3- Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Once upon a time DEI Racing was a formidable foe for restrictor plate races. Dale Jr. has taken all of his knowledge and brought it with him to Hendrick Motorsports and is poised for a great finish. Dale Jr. once won this race four straight times and has five total victories here. His track record speaks for itself and speaking of someone looking to end a winless streak, not winning since June of 2008.

4- Jimmie Johnson: Over the last five races Johnson is one of three drivers to have three top-5 finishes at Talladega. He has also completed the most amount of laps over that same time than any other driver. His last win at this track came in 2006 but the way he has been racing since, its a surprise he hasn't won more at this track. Johnson has more points than any other driver at this track over the last 5 races here.

5- Tony Stewart: Your defending champ at this track is looking to repeat. He is back in the Chevrolet and the past few weeks have been great for his team. Tony Stewart has the most points at this track over the past ten races and has led the third most laps over the past 5 races here. Tony is hot and there is no reason not to expect the same this weekend.

Friday, April 24, 2009

First to Third: A New Yankee Stadium Review

If you build it, they won't come. New Yankee Stadium is a beautiful building and a great tribute to what the team has become about since the creation of the YES Network: profit, money, and luxury. It's also pretty empty in the lower bowl each game, as the $2,500 premium seats remain largely unsold. The new stadium is about one thing: exclusion.

I've been to probably close to 100 Yankee games in my lifetime, most of those at the building that is about to be torn down. That place was 100% about the game of baseball. At the new Stadium, I can't say the same thing. There's this monstrous video board in centerfield which is really cool, but during the game only a tiny part of it is dedicated to things like pitch speed, pitch type, pitch counter. You can count Derek Jeter's nose hairs because his face is so huge on the board, but not how many strikeouts a pitcher has thrown. The billboards surrounding it are brightly colored and distracting. The LED ribbon that spans an entire bowl will tell you that Turkey Hill is the official ice cream of the Yanks, but little about the game or what's happening.

Fans can't go down to the field level to try to get an autograph during batting practice. You can't watch the players enter from the parking lot (which is now underground). You can't move to another section closer to the action when the rich non-baseball fans go home. You can buy sushi, chinese noodle bowls, a boars head sandwich, a million other types of food, a painting by Peter Max, a souvenir from about a dozen stores, a martini, and overly priced Steiner Sports memorabilia. (You can also still go to monument park and check out the Yankee Museum, which is pretty cool)

There are several "lounges" or suite areas that the common fan just can't get to, but can look through the glass to see what they're "missing." What the people on the other side of that piece of glass are missing is a baseball game. Isn't that why you go to the stadium anyway?

And Now You Know!: Baseball Uniform

I recently was bat boy for the Kansas City Royals when they played against the Texas Rangers and it was quite a unique experience. It'll be the first of many this season but the one downfall to the series was the uniform. On the third day of the series a nit-picking representative from MLB sent an email to my boss stating that my uniform was slightly untucked in the back and thus I was violating MLB uniform policy.

So it got me thinking about the baseball uniform. Why is baseball the only uniform in which the uniform is a button up shirt? Every other sports uniform is a jersey pullover. It's strange because about 1 of every 20 players actually unbuttons their jersey when throwing it in the laundry, the rest simply pull it over their heads.

I read an article about this awhile ago and there seems to be no real reason why players wear button up shirts like business attire. Some players even used to wear ties when playing. The dress code didn't just stick with the players as some managers elected to wear a suit in the dugout while coaching.

The pullover jersey did make a run in the 70s-80s where almost the entire league donned the pullovers but they quickly disappeared for no reason besides comfort? Players wear pullover jerseys during batting practice and fielding and no one seems to have a problem with them. They are in fact lighter than the actual jersey but no teams wear them during games.

Baseball used to even have jerseys with laces much like a hockey jersey except the laces went all the way down the jersey. As far as the numbering on the jerseys go, it wasn't until 1929 when the Yankees decided to give players full-time numbers. Their system was easy, you got the number for which you were in the batting order. Therefore, in 1929, leadoff hitter Earle Combs wore #1, Mark Koenig #2, Babe Ruth #3, Lou Gehrig #4, Bob Meusel #5, Tony Lazzeri #6, Leo Durocher #7, Johnny Grabowski #8, and Benny Bengough #9 Of course that could explain why as a bat boy I didn't get a number.

And speaking of the Yankees and their uniforms. Where did the pinstripes come from? Much like the stripes you will find on a suit, the Yankees decided that they wanted pinstripes on their uniforms. Well let it be known that the Yankees weren't the first team to don the stripes as Detroit, Washington, and Brooklyn incorporated stripes by 1988. The stripes went away a year later until Brooklyn brought them back in 1907 and it wasn't until the New York Highlanders in 1912 brought out the pinstripe uniforms.

The story continues with the Highlanders as they abandoned the stripes and their team name. Sources around the internet say that journalists needed a shorthand way to refer to the Highlanders and began calling them Yankees. In 1913 the Yankees officially changed their name and it wasn't until 1915 that the pinstripes were on for good.

So, just as I learned something last week while a MLB official had too much time on his hands to notice my 3 second appearances on the field, there is an etiquette to wearing the button up jerseys.

And Now You Know! (And Knowing is Half the Battle)


Thursday, April 23, 2009

Doug Mientkiewicz Is My New Favorite Player

A few nights ago, I found myself surfing the channels looking for something interesting to watch (preferably sports-related) in the hopes it would kill a half hour before heading to bed. I climbed the channel tiers and wound up in the 700's of my digital cable package. I rarely venture to these extremes, but as you can tell, I wasn't noticing anything too worthwhile.

Much to my delight, "MLB Extra Innings", cable's subscription package for out-of-market baseball games, was offering up a few preview. It was late here on the East Coast, and the first game I went to was San Francisco at Los Angeles. I rarely get to see the Dodgers on TV and with their potent lineup, I was looking forward to my first real glimpse at the NL West leaders.

It's the sixth inning, and in steps utility-infielder Doug Mientkiewicz for the Twins Red Sox Royals Yankees Pirates Dodgers to pinch hit. He slaps a single to right field to drive in two runs and makes the hard turn for second. He has the throw easily beat, yet inexplicably dives headfirst into the bag.

If you've played baseball in the past, you know there was always the kid on the team that insisted on diving or sliding whenever possible just to get his jersey dirty. Doug Mientkiewicz is that kid. Pine tar and mud on the helmet. More chewing tobacco than the typical human cheek can handle. No batting gloves. If his jersey is clean after 9 innings, he's probably ticked off and offended.

And if you've played baseball, you know what probably happened when Doug dove headfirst recklessly into second. Yep...he got hurt. At first, I assumed the worst based on him rolling on the ground writhing in pain. I've had shoulder injuries in the past and this had the looks of a dislocation written all over it. Out jogs Manager Joe Torre and trainer Todd Tomczyk. They stabilize his arm and get him onto his back. Four or five minutes pass and now Doug is standing, yet still talking with Tomczyk. Head trainer Stan Conte joins the meeting and Mientkiewicz begins to get animated - for some reason he's arguing with the trainers? After a minute, I realize Mientkiewicz wants to stay in the game! In fact, he's so determined to stay on the field, he thrusts his injured arm in the air and waives it around as if to say, "I'm fine, now get out of here." Conte chuckles, turns away, and the staff heads off the field.

I assume Doug must have gotten lucky and avoided a dislocation. Maybe just a pinched nerve (or a "stinger" as John Madden used to always say) that quickly subsided after a few minutes of rest. Here's a look at a choppy, shortened version of the incident (complete with commentary from Juan Pierre):



The next morning, I see a note that says Doug Mientkiewicz did in fact dislocate his shoulder and will be placed on the 15-day DL. Pretty shocking to think he stayed in the game after that...at least until I stumbled across this post on the Inside the Dodgers blog later that day:
"Knowing (Mientkiewicz), he'll try to come back in four weeks,'' Torre said. "But that isn't going to happen.'' The MRI showed a complete dislocation, and the front part of the labrum was pulled off, along with the capsule, Conte said. Dr. Neal ElAttrache, the Dodgers' team physician, will do the surgery on Monday.
Mientkiewicz is expected to miss at least three months and possibly the rest of the season! And to think, I witnessed this guy throw his arm into the air in an effort to convince the team to let him stay in the game to run the bases?? If that doesn't inspire a team, I'm not sure what else will. Let's not forget Doug's polar opposite is also a part of the Dodgers lineup: Manny Ramirez. This is the guy who always seems to have the horrible luck of getting a nagging hamstring injury 72 hours prior to the all-star game.

As a hockey fan, it always amazes me to see athletes fight through pain and compete with injuries that would cripple a normal human for months. I never thought I would witness something like this on a random weeknight on Channel 767, but I can now honestly say...Doug Mientkiewicz is my new favorite player.

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Chin Music: The Cape League And Your Fantasy Team

Cape Cod. That's the hook that juts out into the Atlantic Ocean and flexes Massachusetts’ bicep as a warning to, I think mostly just the British, not mess with the state. Cape Cod is known for its beaches and is home to “verdant greens[…]warm golds [and] pampered whites” and of course the Kennedys (not to be redundant). But for your sake, my sake and the sake of this article, Cape Cod is the home to the success of your future fantasy baseball team: the ten team Cape Cod Baseball League. As a wooden-bat NCAA summer league, every team on the Cape is made up of college All-Stars, so the league's All-Star game is truly the best of the best of collegiate baseball.

In late July 2005 I showed up at McKeon Park in Hyannis, home to the Cape League’s Hyannis Mets where I was a lowly intern fresh off my first year in college. The sun was barely up but the stadium parking lot was packed. Like any league, the Cape League rotates the venue for its All-Star game among the ten teams (I'll just go ahead and contradict myself by mentioning that this year's game is at Fenway Park). In 2005 the game came to Hyannis. I threw on the startling bright orange Hyannis All-Star Game shirt everyone got and started the morning off with my typical pre-game grunt work before my boss called me into the television production truck. College Sports TV (CSTV) was airing the game and needed someone to hold the radar gun that would display each pitch’s speed on screen for the game. That someone turned out to be me.

An entire area was cordoned off behind home plate in anticipation of the two dozen or so scouts expected to be on hand. I sat in my position behind home plate and over the course of an hour scouts filed in wearing their typical PGA-style wadrobes: polo shirts, khaki pants, sunglasses and the occasional visor. I struck up a few conversations and made some small talk until the game started.

The Hyannis Mets turned out to be the worst team in Cape League history in 2005. As one of their interns, the only time I got to see other players was when they came to town. This game was a chance for me to see the best players all in one place, and much like the scouts, a bunch of players peaked my interest.

Current Red Sox prospect, but then-North Carolina Tar Heel Daniel Bard (1.25 ERA, 82 SO in 65 IP that season) started the game with two quick outs before giving up a single. Stepping to the plate in the clean up spot was a skinny middle infielder from Long Beach State named Evan Longoria, who finished that Cape League season at .299 with 8 home runs, 35 RBI and an OPS of .831. He calmly stroked a double down the left field line. After another walk, Bard got out of the bases loaded jam unscathed. It was fitting that Longoria was one of the few notable offensive players in a game controled by future Major League pitchers.

As the game went on, it was dominated entirely by the pitchers. From my position directly behind the backstop I could see as nasty curves, even nastier sliders, and pure heat left even the league’s best hitters seemingly hopeless. My radar gun lit up. It made it to triple digits only once, but if a fastball came in below 93 it was an oddity.

A relatively short pitcher from the University of Washington hit 97 and 98 consistently. People seemed to know little about him coming out of high school (he was drafted in the 48th round), but his performance that day in the Cape League All-Star game announced his arrival. His stuff was filthy and combined with his 0.69 ERA and 68 strikeouts over 39.1 innings that season, the scouts took notice. Three years later that same Tim Lincecum won the National League Cy Young.

A tall lanky lefty from UNC threw sliders to left-handed batters that seemed as though they were going to hit the batter in the backside, only to tail back across the plate, leaving scouts to do nothing but chuckle at what was happening. He ended up with a 6-0 record (in a 44 game season, mind you) with a 1.65 ERA and 66 strikeouts over 49 innings. That pitcher was recent disabled listee Andrew Miller, whose career hasn’t panned out according to plan so far, but who has the skill set of an ace, if he can just figure out a way to harness it.

Then came a tall pitcher from Cal who made my radar gun hit triple digits. As a closer in the league, he struck out 24 in 14.2 innings. Despite being drafted as a starter, Brandon Morrow quickly reverted back to his reliever days and he’s closing for Seattle now.

It’s not surprising that the game was 0-0 into the top of the ninth. With current Red Sox pitcher Justin Masterson on the mound (1.15 ERA, 39 SO over 31.1 IP that season), Evan Longoria came through with his second hit, advancing the eventual winning run to third. The run, almost rightfully so, scored on a double play. There would be no game winning RBI. The final 1-0 score line was fitting for a game the featured so much young, future Major League talent. It was left up to the scouts to vote on the game’s MVP. Most just wrote in each other’s names, or wrote “the pitchers.”

Every summer since 2005 I have worked for the Cape Cod Baseball league in some capacity. In 2006, the All-Star lineup included Baltimore’s Matt Wieters, Texas’ Justin Smoak, San Francisco’s Buster Posey, and Cleveland’s Matt LaPorta (who, for example, actually struggled his last year at the Cape, especially compared to his college seasons), all of whom are among the best prospects in all of baseball. In fact, after a few weeks of the 2006 a few of my co-workers and I each chose the player who we thought would pan out to be the best pro. One chose Wieters, the other chose Smoak. I chose Tulane outfielder Warren McFadden, but only because his at-bat music was “Apache” by the Sugarhill Gang. It's fair to say that the contest is now down to the two of them. The two former co-workers now work for the Atlanta Braves and Tampa Bay Rays, so I guess that’s where a keen eye for talent gets you.

The 2007 game included Buster Posey for a second time, along with current White Sox second base prospect Gordon Beckham (who, surprisingly enough for a kid from Georgia, dresses like he’s about to go yachting, or be a part of a Ralph Lauren catalog) and up and coming Reds prospect Yonder Alonso.

So what’s my point in all this? If you’re looking for the next big sensation, or just the next solid professional for your fantasy baseball team, start paying attention to the Cape Cod Baseball League. This isn’t even a new trend. Since the 1988 Cape League season that featured Frank Thomas, Jeff Bagwell, Jeff Kent, Jeromy Burnitz, Mo Vaughn, Tim Salmon, Denny Neagle, and J.T. Snow, the Cape League has been churning out future Major Leaguers every year. At the very least you should take a glance at how prospects did there; it’s a very good indicator of how they will do with the big boys a few years later (the Cape League uses wooden bats. The Big Leagues use wooden bats. There’s a little bit of a correlation there). It’s done wonders for my fantasy team. Just ask the people who thought I was insane for taking Tim Lincecum and Evan Longoria well before anyone else thought they should be taken last year in my 2008 fantasy draft. Even take a look at last week’s Fensts’ Farm Report, you’ll find a bunch of the aforementioned Cape Leaguers in there too.

Many of the 2007 and 2008 crops of Cape League All-Stars haven't even been drafted yet. But glance at who played in the game the last two seasons, or just take a peek at some of the league leaders, you’ll be seeing their names early and often come this June’s draft (like Aaron Crow, Kyle Gibson, Grant Green,Tim Wheeler, A.J. Pollock and Rich Poythress...and Dustin Ackley who, albeit due to injury, didn't even make the All-Star team). It may not be for a while, but I would suggest drafting some of them in your 2011 fantasy draft, they may just key your team to your fantasy league championship.

The Mulligan: Fantasy Golf Picks for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans


If you have been following The Mulligan, you likely experienced a significant boost in your fantasy golf rankings last week. Last week’s sleeper pick, Brian Gay, decided that he needed a goofy red tartan jacket to match his neon green pants, so he went out and beat the field by 10 shots. Boo Weekley came through last week as well with a tie for 13. Leonard and Furyk let us down, but if you started Gay you should have outperformed any other expert last week.

This week the Tour heads to Cajun Country for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. Lets keep the momentum going this week with some good fantasy golf picks. I like Steve Stricker, Nick Watney and John Merrick this week.

Stricker finished 11th in this event in 2007, although his other two visits to TPC Louisiana have been ugly. This year, Stricker has been on fire, finishing in the top 25 seven times. He played very well at The Masters, and his timing is as good as it gets right now.

Watney is another momentum play. I haven’t seen him do anything wrong yet this year. Nick is another guy who played well at the Masters, to go along with his already nice 2009 resume. He has finished in the top 25 eight times in nine starts this season, and he has a win at this course. He is a no-brainer.

John Merrick finished in a tie for 6th at the Masters two weeks ago. He has 3 top ten finishes this season, and he plays well at TPC Louisiana (T7th, T18th). Merrick is also a good pick this week.

Stricker, Merrick and Watney are all having great years and this week should be no exception. Lets keep the momentum going toward the top of the Fantasy Golf rankings.

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

First to Third: Citi Field Comments

This past weekend, I had the opportunity to attend my first games at the new New York Stadiums, Citi Field and new Yankee Stadium. This post is my brief review of the Mets' new ballpark.

A far cry from Shea Stadium, the typical cookie-cutter stadium, Citi Field has a traditional but modern style. There are old baseball pictures around the concourse, a kids zone in centerfield behind the scoreboard complete with a full food court. The seats are comfortable with a decent amount of legroom and close to the field. Citi Field is the classy sister to Shea Stadium and an impressive building.

My one big criticism of Citi Field is that it barely touches Mets history. The Stadium is supposed to evoke memories of Ebbets Field, which it does, but it evokes more memories of Dodger tradition than Met tradition. The Jackie Robinson Rotunda is fine way to enter any stadium and the classic pictures are great, but those are part of Brooklyn Dodgers history, not New York Met history. Across town, the Yankees have a museum and monument park, but there's really no fitting tribute to Met history at Citi Field.

The concourses could be a bit wider, as concession lines block concourse traffic, and the outfield is littered with billboards and advertisements, but Citi Field is a huge upgrade for fans over Shea Stadium.

The Buzz Around The Bullpen: John Baker the Fantasy Point Maker


Welcome back to another edition of the “Buzz Around the Bullpen”. As we enter into week three of the fantasy baseball season, chances are you are starting to either love or hate your fantasy team. If you’re anything like me, you’re starting to wonder what has happened from draft day till now that has changed your entire outlook of your team. If anything, I would have thought my pitching staff would be the strength of my team. Instead, Cole Hamels and Francisco Liriano have decided not to show up for the start of the ’09 season. Although my initial reaction is to make some changes, I’m going to hold pat and hope that things start to work themselves out.
For those of you who are in similar situations, here's some advice. While you can always tweak your roster and make minor adjustments, now is not the time to panic. It is entirely too early for an impulse trade that will change the nucleus of your team. Now if you’re team continues to struggle into early-mid May, then it's time to start making some changes.

For now, lets talk about some hits and misses for this upcoming week.

Big Hits

John Baker (C, FLA): John Baker has been just one of the many back stories behind baseball’s best early season story. Through Sunday, the Fish are a remarkable 11-1 and with a series against the perennial basement dwelling Pittsburgh Pirates upcoming, the Marlins don’t look to be slowing anytime soon. Baker has started the year hitting .333 with 1 HR, 9 RBI’s and 8 runs. Although he does have limited MLB at-bats, he projects to be around a .300 hitter with great run potential because of his spot in the Fish lineup between Emilio Bonafacio and Hanley Ramirez. If Baker can get regular at-bats in ‘09, it would not be out of the question to expect above average fantasy numbers from him.

Jordan Zimmermann (SP, WAS): From one of the best stories of the year, to one of the most disappointing. The Washington Nationals have been nothing short of awful to start the '09 season. In response, the Nationals have called on one of their top prospects to try and breathe some life into a clubhouse that is a few defeats away from being complete lost. Zimmermann has had an impressive minor league career and he will look to improve on his professional record with two starts this week. It will be tough for anyone to right the ship in Washington but I would be willing to take a flier on this guy. Regardless of how he pitches, he may lose out on some victories because of his supporting cast but if you’re in need of some starting pitching, it can’t hurt to take a chance.

Jason Kubel (OF, MIN): So what would you rather do in a MLB game? Would you rather hit for the cycle, or hit a grand slam? Well if you’re Jason Kubel, you would do both. In one of the most electrifying moments of the young ’09 season, Kubel topped off his Friday night performance with a grand slam to complete his cycle. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, Kubel became just the third player in the past 100 years to do just that. Kubel continued his rampage on Saturday going 4 for 5 with 2 RBIs before finally coming back to earth on Sunday. Despite his 0 for 4 clip on Sunday, Kubel managed to improve his ’09 batting average to .333. If you project his prior MLB numbers over an entire season, you’re looking at an outfielder that is capable of hitting .275 with 23-25 HRs, 90 RBIs and 85 runs. Those are great numbers for someone you could go out and grab on your waiver wire.

Big Misses

Huston Street (RP, COL): A couple of weeks ago, I mentioned that it was only a matter of time before Huston Street would lose the closer job in Colorado. Even before I thought it would happen, Street was demoted before Friday night’s game against the Dodgers. Street has been relegated to regular bullpen duty and manager Clint Hurdle’s decision to put Street in for “mop-up” duty in Sunday’s blowout loss speaks volumes about the confidence he has in him right now. For the time being, Street’s fantasy value has taken a significant hit and until further notice, he is not worth owning.

Barry Zito (SP, SF): In a time of economic strife, the San Francisco Giants know all too well about getting burned by a bad investment. Since he signed his seven year $126 million dollar deal in 2006, Zito has been a huge disappointment to his fantasy owners and to the Giants faithful. Despite his struggles since his move to San Francisco, some owners were still willing to spend a pick on Zito in ’09. In true Zito-fashion, he’s rewarded them with two brutal starts which have accumulated to 9 innings pitched, 2 losses, a 10.00 ERA and 6 walks. It doesn’t look like Zito will regain his velocity any time soon and without that added 3-5 mph, his once lethal curveball is nothing more than a "get it over" breaking ball. If your looking for a young lefty to take his spot on your roster, look no further than Blue Jays starter Ricky Romero. But at this time, Zito is not worth rostering and unfortunately for the Giants, he may not ever be worth owning again.

As with any SportsJudge articles, please feel free to post any questions or comments. Until next time, keep your ears open for the Buzz Around the Bullpen.