Friday, November 23, 2007

Matt's Stats: Week 12 NFL Preview

Happy Thanksgiving to everyone!!!! With 3 games already in the books, here we go with a limited version of Matt's Stats for Week 12. With fantasy games already having started for the week let's skip the sleepers (although if you didn't listen two weeks ago when I said it and some how he is still available in your league, pick up Kolby Smith now!!!!) and get right into the players and picks for Week 12 in the league where they play for pay:

"Play" or "Stay Away":

QB - Play Eli Manning (QB, New York Giants). Eli is now a top 10 QB in the NFL and he is going up against a Vikings team that is ranked last in the league against the pass. Add in the fact that the Vikings have the #1 ranked team against the run, and the Giants are injured at RB with Jacobs and Ward (both probably out this week), and it should equal a 300 Yard, 2 TD Performance for Manning in Week 12.

Stay Away from Jason Campbell (QB, Washington Redskins). I've had Campbell on the "Play" list for 2 or 3 weeks this year, and he is coming off a big game against Dallas, but look elsewhere this week. Campbell should have a tough start this week against a Tampa Bay defense that is ranked 3rd in the NFL against the Pass. Campbell should get about 200-250 Yards and maybe a TD or 2, but expect a few INTs as well. Look elsewhere this week at QB.

RB - Play Cedric Benson (RB, Chicago Bears). I'm definitely not one to praise Benson, and actually view him as a bust for the most part. That being said, however, play Benson this week against Denver. Denver ranks 29th in stopping the run, and Benson should get plenty of carries in what will be a close game. Look for Benson's third consecutive game with a TD and first 100 Yard game since Week 2.

Stay away from Ricky Williams (RB, Miami Dolphins). Aside from the fact that the Dolphins are playing at Pittsburgh (3rd in the NFL against the run), do not get fooled into starting Williams just because Jesse Chatman is questionable and may not play this week. Even if Ricky Williams does play, don't expect much success. Williams will take several games to get into playing shape and will not be of Fantasy value until the 2008 Season.

WR - Play Kevin Walter and Andre Davis (WRs, Houston Texans) this week. Andre Johnson had a great first game back and should put up another 100 yard week against Cleveland this week, but don't forget about Walter and Davis. Walter has 576 Yards and 1 TD, while Davis has 471 Yards and 3 TDs on the season. The Browns defense is one of the worst in the league, giving up the third most receiving yards (281.3) per game in the league. Johnson won't do it all himself, so if you still have Walter and Davis this should be your best start for them during the rest of the season. It'll be a high scoring game on Sunday, so why not take advantage with Walter and Davis.

Stay away from Chad Johnson (WR, Cincinnati Bengals). I never thought I would say that during a Fantasy Football Season, but he is a very poor start this week. Ocho Cinco hasn't had a TD since Week 2 and has not had 100 Yards since Week 7 against the lowly Jets. The Bengals have looked more like the Bungles of the '90s this year and will be going against the strong Titans defense (giving up only 207.4 Receiving Yards per game...7th in the league). Look elsewhere if you can this week and avoid starting Johnson in Week 12.

Survival of the Fittest:

It was a lot closer then expected but the Colts win last week pushed my record to 10-2 for the season. This week the pick is the New England Patriots. I don't see anyway the Eagles (probably without McNabb) can have a chance. Pats most likely even cover the ridiculous 22 point spread this week. New England will lose eventually this year, but Week 12 is not the time. Look for the Pats to run away with another win this week.

Have a Great Week 12!!!

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